Privy Council Office

Program of Applied Research on Climate Action (PARCA): Ongoing Surveying of Canadians’ Climate Change Beliefs, Attitudes, and Behaviours Over Time

Final Report


Prepared for Privy Council Office Supplier name: Forum Research Inc. Contract number: CW2319917 Contract value: $179,699.38 Contract award date: June 26, 2023

Delivery date: April 15, 2024

Registration number: POR #020-23


Ce rapport est aussi disponible en français.

Program of Applied Research on Climate Action (PARCA): Ongoing Surveying of Canadians’ Climate Change Beliefs, Attitudes, and Behaviours Over Time

Final Report


Prepared for Privy Council Office Supplier name: Forum Research Inc. Registration number: POR #020-23


The reproduction of this publication is permitted for personal or public non-commercial purposes. For all other uses, prior written permission must be obtained from Public Services and Procurement Canada. For more information on this report, please contact Public Services and Procurement Canada at:

Catalogue number: CP22-216/2024E-PDF

ISBN: 978-0-660-70916-1


Related publications:

Catalogue number: CP22-216/2024F-PDF

ISBN: 978-0-660-70917-8

Table of Contents

  1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 6

    1. Introduction 6

    2. Research Purpose 6

    3. Overall Approach 6

    4. Ǫuestionnaire Design 6

    5. Sample Design 7

    6. Weighting 7

    7. Generalization of Data 7

    8. Research Outcomes 7

    9. Total Contract Value 7

    10. Political Neutrality Statement 8

  2. Tracking Survey Wave 1 Methodological Report 9

    1. Introduction 9

    2. Research Purpose 9

    3. Overall Approach 9

    4. Ǫuestionnaire Design 9

    5. Sample Design 10

    6. Sample Metrics 10

    7. Weighting 11

    8. Response Rate 11

    9. Generalization of Data 11

    10. Research Outcomes 12

    11. Total Contract Value 12

    12. Political Neutrality Statement 12

  3. Tracking Survey Wave 2 Methodological Report 13

    1. Introduction 13

    2. Research Purpose 13

    3. Overall Approach 13

    4. Ǫuestionnaire Design 13

    5. Sample Design 14

    6. Sample Metrics 14

    7. Weighting 15

    8. Response Rate 15

    9. Generalization of Data 15

    10. Research Outcomes 16

    11. Total Contract Value 16

    12. Political Neutrality Statement 16

  4. Tracking Survey Wave 3 Methodological Report 17

    1. Introduction 17

    2. Research Purpose 17

    3. Overall Approach 17

    4. Ǫuestionnaire Design 17

    5. Sample Design 18

    6. Sample Metrics 18

    7. Weighting 19

    8. Response Rate 19

    9. Generalization of Data 19

    10. Research Outcomes 20

    11. Total Contract Value 20

    12. Political Neutrality Statement 20

  5. Tracking Survey Wave 4 Methodological Report 21

    1. Introduction 21

    2. Research Purpose 21

    3. Overall Approach 21

    4. Ǫuestionnaire Design 21

    5. Sample Design 22

    6. Sample Metrics 22

    7. Weighting 23

    8. Response Rate 23

    9. Generalization of Data 23

    10. Research Outcomes 24

    11. Total Contract Value 24

    12. Political Neutrality Statement 24

  6. Emerging Topics Wave 1 Methodological Report 25

    1. Introduction 25

    2. Research Purpose 25

    3. Overall Approach 25

    4. Ǫuestionnaire Design 25

    5. Sample Design 26

    6. Sample Metrics 26

    7. Weighting 27

    8. Response Rate 27

    9. Generalization of Data 27

    10. Research Outcomes 28

    11. Total Contract Value 28

    12. Political Neutrality Statement 28

  7. Emerging Topics Wave 2 Methodological Report 29

    1. Introduction 29

    2. Research Purpose 29

    3. Overall Approach 29

    4. Ǫuestionnaire Design 29

    5. Sample Design 30

    6. Sample Metrics 30

    7. Weighting 31

    8. Response Rate 31

    9. Generalization of Data 31

    10. Research Outcomes 32

    11. Total Contract Value 32

    12. Political Neutrality Statement 32

Appendix: Panel Information 33

Sago Panel 33

Leger Opinion (LEO) 34

Logit Group Panel (Loop Surveys) 36

  1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

    1. Introduction

      Forum Research was commissioned to conduct a survey of Canadians covering topics important to the Privy Council Office and the Government of Canada. The survey topics included Canadians’ evolving beliefs, attitudes, and behaviours relating to climate change and environmental protection. Insights garnered from the quantitative study will enable the Government of Canada to further develop and refine policies, program implementation, and communication strategies.

      This report addresses the methodological details of the study pertaining to the time period between July 31st, 2023 to April 1, 2024. This is the final report.

    2. Research Purpose

      The purpose of this study is to provide the Privy Council Office Impact and Innovation Unit (PCO- IIU), Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC), and Natural Resources Canada (NRCan) with high quality data and information on Canadians’ beliefs, attitudes, and behaviours relating to climate change. This includes:

      • support for existing and proposed climate policy and programs;

      • risk perceptions pertaining to climate change and its impacts;

      • acceptance of recommended behaviours to combat climate change;

      • climate change knowledge;

      • barriers/drivers to pro-environmental behaviours; and

      • misperceptions about climate change and its causes.

        Insights generated from this quantitative study will enable the Government of Canada to further develop and refine climate change-focused policies, programs, communications, and regulations to meet the specific needs of Canadians.

    3. Overall Approach

      The Privy Council Office provided specific requirements for conducting the survey in its request for proposal. Over the course of six data collection waves, consisting of four Tracking Series and two Emerging Topics Series, Forum Research gathered comprehensive information regarding Canadians’ beliefs, attitudes, and behaviours relating to climate change.

      The surveys were conducted using the computer-assisted web interview (CAWI, online survey) methodology and was administered in both official languages to the Canadian population.

    4. Ǫuestionnaire Design

      The Privy Council Office provided Forum Research with a draft version of the questionnaires. The questionnaires were modified for each survey wave (upon request of the Privy Council Office) to reflect the dynamic nature of important topics affecting Canadians. Forum Research worked with the Privy Council Office project team to review the questionnaire, with specific attention to question wording, ordering, and the overall flow of the survey. For each survey wave, the survey was

      pre-tested before data collection upon request from the Privy Council Office. The pre-tests aimed to achieve 50 completes, with 25 administered in French and 25 administered in English. The pre- test data was shared with the Privy Council Office. A thorough review of the survey flow, logic, and questionnaire design was conducted by both Forum Research and the Privy Council Office.

    5. Sample Design

      The sample was sourced using an online panel methodology, which includes a combination of partner panels to achieve the required sample size of n=13,700 unique respondents across the six data collection waves, ensuring that no duplicate respondents will be surveyed.

      The sample targets adults living in Canada 18 years of age and older, aiming for appropriate representation of gender, age, and regional split from 2021 Statistics Canada Census. For each survey wave, the sample includes general population respondents (n=2,000 per wave). Additionally, some waves included an oversample of underrepresented populations; details are provided in the following sections for each survey wave.

    6. Weighting

      Forum Research, in collaboration with the PCO, applied a weighting strategy (using 2021 Statistics Canada Census data) which is balanced according to:

      • Age

      • Gender

      • Region

      Weighting was conducted at the end of each survey wave with the data collected during that survey wave. As the data files were cumulative, data that was previously weighted was not re-weighted.

    7. Generalization of Data

      The sample for each survey data collection wave have been weighted to ensure it accurately reflects Canadians’ opinions. Because the surveys were conducted using online samples, the sample cannot be assumed to be truly random. Although traditional margin of error cannot be calculated for online samples, it is helpful to compare what the margin of error would be for a probability sample of the same size as a reference point. As such, a margin of error is calculated for each survey data collection wave.

    8. Research Outcomes

      The findings of the research are expected to be used to inform the Government of Canada about Canadians’ beliefs, attitudes, and behaviours relating to climate change. Insights will enable the Government of Canada to further develop and refine climate change-focused policy, programs, communications, and regulations to meet the specific needs of Canadians.

      1.6. Total Contract Value

      The total contract value is equal to $179,699.38.

      1.10. Political Neutrality Statement

      I hereby certify as Senior Officer of Forum Research Inc. that the deliverables fully comply with the Government of Canada political neutrality requirements outlined in the Policy on Communications and Federal Identity and the Directive on the Management of Communications - Appendix C (Appendix C: Mandatory Procedures for Public Opinion Research).

      image

      Signature:

      Dr. Lorne Bozinoff

      Specifically, the deliverables do not include information on electoral voting intentions, political party preferences, standings with the electorate, or ratings of the performance of a political party or its leaders.



      President C CEO Forum Research Inc.

  2. Tracking Survey Wave 1 Methodological Report

    1. Introduction

      Forum Research was commissioned to conduct a survey of Canadians covering topics important to the Privy Council Office and the Government of Canada. The survey topics included Canadians’ evolving beliefs, attitudes, and behaviours relating to climate change and environmental protection. Insights garnered from the quantitative study will enable the Government of Canada to further develop and refine policies, program implementation, and communication strategies.

      The Tracking Survey Wave 1 Methodological Report addresses the methodological details of the study pertaining to the time period between July 31st, 2023 to August 21st, 2023. This is the final report.

    2. Research Purpose

      The purpose of this study is to provide the Privy Council Office Impact and Innovation Unit (PCO- IIU), Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC), and Natural Resources Canada (NRCan) with high quality data and information on Canadians’ beliefs, attitudes, and behaviours relating to climate change. This includes:

      • support for existing and proposed climate policy and programs;

      • risk perceptions pertaining to climate change and its impacts;

      • acceptance of recommended behaviours to combat climate change;

      • climate change knowledge;

      • barriers/drivers to pro-environmental behaviours; and

      • misperceptions about climate change and its causes.

        Insights generated from this quantitative study will enable the Government of Canada to further develop and refine climate change-focused policies, programs, communications, and regulations to meet the specific needs of Canadians.

    3. Overall Approach

      The Privy Council Office provided specific requirements for conducting the survey in its request for proposals., Forum Research gathered comprehensive information regarding Canadians’ beliefs, attitudes, and behaviours relating to climate change.

      The survey was conducted using the computer-assisted web interview (CAWI, online survey) methodology and was administered in both official languages to the Canadian population.

    4. Ǫuestionnaire Design

      The Privy Council Office provided Forum Research with a draft version of the questionnaire in English and Forum Research translated the questionnaire to French. Forum Research worked with the Privy Council Office project team to review the questionnaire, with specific attention to question wording, ordering, and the overall flow of the survey. The survey was pre-tested before data collection upon request from the Privy Council Office. The pre-tests aimed to achieve 50

      completes, with 25 administered in French and 25 administered in English. The pre-test data was shared with the Privy Council Office. A thorough review of the survey flow, logic, and questionnaire design was conducted by both Forum Research and the Privy Council Office.

    5. Sample Design

      The sample was sourced using an online panel methodology, which includes a combination of partner panels to achieve the required sample size of n=2,000 general population respondents. The sample targets adults living in Canada 18 years of age and older, aiming for appropriate representation of gender, age, and regional split from 2021 Statistics Canada Census.

      Upon completion of fieldwork, Forum Research achieved a total of n=2,105 completed surveys from the Sago panel.

    6. Sample Metrics

      The following tables describe the obtained sample metrics broken out by region, age, and gender for this survey wave.


      REGIONAL BREAKOUT

      Province

      Frequency

      Percent

      Alberta

      230

      11.4%

      British Columbia

      270

      13.4%

      Manitoba

      73

      3.6%

      New Brunswick

      42

      2.1%

      Newfoundland and Labrador

      28

      1.4%

      Northwest Territories

      2

      0.1%

      Nova Scotia

      52

      2.6%

      Nunavut

      0

      0%

      Ontario

      771

      38.3%

      Prince Edward Island

      8

      0.4%

      Ǫuebec

      477

      23.7%

      Saskatchewan

      61

      3.0%

      Yukon

      1

      <0.1%

      TOTAL

      2015

      100%


      AGE BREAKOUT

      Age

      Frequency

      Percent

      18-24

      66

      3.3%

      25-34

      152

      7.5%

      35-44

      229

      11.4%

      45-54

      252

      12.5%

      55-64

      403

      20.0%

      65-74

      627

      31.1%

      75+

      286

      14.2%

      TOTAL

      2015

      100%


      GENDER BREAKOUT

      Gender

      Frequency

      Percent

      Man

      1017

      50.5%

      Woman

      993

      49.3%

      Non-binary person

      3

      0.1%

      Another gender identity

      2

      0.1%

      TOTAL

      2015

      100%


    7. Weighting

      Forum Research, in collaboration with the PCO, applied a weighting strategy (using 2021 Statistics Canada Census data) which is balanced according to:

      • Age

      • Gender

      • Region

      Weighting was conducted at the end of the survey wave with the data collected.

    8. Response Rate

      Response rate is calculated by the number of responses to the survey divided by the total number of invitations sent. The response rate for Tracking Series Wave 1 was 3.57%.

      2.6. Generalization of Data

      The sample for each survey data collection wave have been weighted to ensure it accurately reflects Canadians’ opinions. Because the surveys were conducted using online samples, the sample cannot be assumed to be truly random. Although traditional margin of error cannot be calculated for online samples, it is helpful to compare what the margin of error would be for a probability sample of the same size as a reference point. A sample of n=2015 Canadians results in an overall margin of error of ± 2.18%, 19 times out of 20.

      Measures were taken in order to reduce the influence of non-response bias. At the beginning of the survey, respondents were assured that their answers will remain anonymous and confidential.

      Reminder emails were also sent to respondents to ensure that individuals who were interested in participating, but were unavailable, would still be able to do so. Furthermore, to reduce item non- response bias, all questions in the online survey were mandatory, meaning respondents were unable to proceed to the next question without providing an answer to the current question.

      However, many questions included “prefer not to say” as an answer option for those who did not wish to provide an answer.

        1. Research Outcomes

          The findings of the research are expected to be used to inform the Government of Canada about Canadians’ beliefs, attitudes, and behaviours relating to climate change. Insights will enable the Government of Canada to further develop and refine climate change-focused policy, programs, communications, and regulations to meet the specific needs of Canadians.

        2. Total Contract Value

          The total contract value is equal to $179,699.38.

        3. Political Neutrality Statement

      I hereby certify as Senior Officer of Forum Research Inc. that the deliverables fully comply with the Government of Canada political neutrality requirements outlined in the Policy on Communications and Federal Identity and the Directive on the Management of Communications - Appendix C (Appendix C: Mandatory Procedures for Public Opinion Research).

      image

      Signature:

      Dr. Lorne Bozinoff

      Specifically, the deliverables do not include information on electoral voting intentions, political party preferences, standings with the electorate, or ratings of the performance of a political party or its leaders.



      President C CEO Forum Research Inc.

  3. Tracking Survey Wave 2 Methodological Report

    1. Introduction

      Forum Research was commissioned to conduct a survey of Canadians covering topics important to the Privy Council Office and the Government of Canada. The survey topics included Canadians’ evolving beliefs, attitudes, and behaviours relating to climate change and environmental protection. Insights garnered from the quantitative study will enable the Government of Canada to further develop and refine policies, program implementation, and communication strategies.

      The Tracking Survey Wave 2 Methodological Report addresses the methodological details of the study pertaining to the time period between October 5th, 2023 to October 23rd, 2023. This is the final report.

    2. Research Purpose

      The purpose of this study is to provide the Privy Council Office Impact and Innovation Unit (PCO- IIU), Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC), and Natural Resources Canada (NRCan) with high quality data and information on Canadians’ beliefs, attitudes, and behaviours relating to climate change. This includes:

      • support for existing and proposed climate policy and programs;

      • risk perceptions pertaining to climate change and its impacts;

      • acceptance of recommended behaviours to combat climate change;

      • climate change knowledge;

      • barriers/drivers to pro-environmental behaviours; and

      • misperceptions about climate change and its causes.

        Insights generated from this quantitative study will enable the Government of Canada to further develop and refine climate change-focused policies, programs, communications, and regulations to meet the specific needs of Canadians.

    3. Overall Approach

      The Privy Council Office provided specific requirements for conducting the survey in its request for proposals., Forum Research gathered comprehensive information regarding Canadians’ beliefs, attitudes, and behaviours relating to climate change.

      The survey was conducted using the computer-assisted web interview (CAWI, online survey) methodology and was administered in both official languages to the Canadian population.

    4. Ǫuestionnaire Design

      The Privy Council Office provided Forum Research with a draft version of the questionnaire in English and Forum Research translated the questionnaire to French. Forum Research worked with the Privy Council Office project team to review the questionnaire, with specific attention to question wording, ordering, and the overall flow of the survey. The survey was pre-tested before data collection upon request from the Privy Council Office. The pre-tests aimed to achieve 50

      completes, with 25 administered in French and 25 administered in English. The pre-test data was shared with the Privy Council Office. A thorough review of the survey flow, logic, and questionnaire design was conducted by both Forum Research and the Privy Council Office.

    5. Sample Design

      The sample was sourced using an online panel methodology, which includes a combination of partner panels to achieve the required sample size of n=2,000 general population respondents. The sample targets adults living in Canada 18 years of age and older, aiming for appropriate representation of gender, age, and regional split from 2021 Statistics Canada Census. Additionally, this survey wave included an oversample of respondents living in rural areas.

      Upon completion of fieldwork, Forum Research achieved a total of n=2,236 completed surveys. Of those, n=2,019 surveys were part of the general population from the Sago panel and n=217 were part of the oversample of the rural population from the Leger Opinion (LEO) panel.

    6. Sample Metrics

      The following tables describe the obtained sample metrics broken out by region, age, and gender for this survey wave.


      REGIONAL BREAKOUT

      Province

      Frequency

      Percent

      Alberta

      252

      11.3%

      British Columbia

      295

      13.2%

      Manitoba

      82

      3.7%

      New Brunswick

      46

      2.1%

      Newfoundland and Labrador

      33

      1.5%

      Northwest Territories

      1

      <0.1%

      Nova Scotia

      59

      2.6%

      Nunavut

      0

      0%

      Ontario

      878

      39.3%

      Prince Edward Island

      10

      0.4%

      Ǫuebec

      514

      23.0%

      Saskatchewan

      64

      2.9%

      Yukon

      2

      0.1%

      TOTAL

      2236

      100%


      AGE BREAKOUT

      Age

      Frequency

      Percent

      18-24

      363

      16.2%

      25-34

      245

      11.0%

      35-44

      341

      15.3%

      45-54

      340

      15.2%

      55-64

      410

      18.3%

      65-74

      324

      14.5%

      75+

      213

      9.5%

      TOTAL

      2236

      100%


      GENDER BREAKOUT

      Gender

      Frequency

      Percent

      Man

      988

      44.2%

      Woman

      1225

      54.8%

      Non-binary person

      13

      0.6%

      Another gender identity

      2

      0.1%

      Prefer not to say

      8

      0.4%

      TOTAL

      2236

      100%


    7. Weighting

      Forum Research, in collaboration with the PCO, applied a weighting strategy (using 2021 Statistics Canada Census data) which is balanced according to:

      • Age

      • Gender

      • Region

      Weighting was conducted at the end of the survey wave with the data collected.

    8. Response Rate

      Response rate is calculated by the number of responses to the survey divided by the total number of invitations sent. The response rate for the general population sample for Tracking Series Wave 2 was 3.86%, and the response rate for the rural population oversample was 12.6%.

      3.6. Generalization of Data

      The sample for each survey data collection wave have been weighted to ensure it accurately reflects Canadians’ opinions. Because the surveys were conducted using online samples, the sample cannot be assumed to be truly random. Although traditional margin of error cannot be calculated for online samples, it is helpful to compare what the margin of error would be for a

      probability sample of the same size as a reference point. A sample of n=2236 Canadians results in an overall margin of error of ± 2.07%, 19 times out of 20.

      Measures were taken in order to reduce the influence of non-response bias. At the beginning of the survey, respondents were assured that their answers will remain anonymous and confidential.

      Reminder emails were also sent to respondents to ensure that individuals who were interested in participating, but were unavailable, would still be able to do so. Furthermore, to reduce item non- response bias, all questions in the online survey were mandatory, meaning respondents were unable to proceed to the next question without providing an answer to the current question.

      However, many questions included “prefer not to say” as an answer option for those who did not wish to provide an answer.

        1. Research Outcomes

          The findings of the research are expected to be used to inform the Government of Canada about Canadians’ beliefs, attitudes, and behaviours relating to climate change. Insights will enable the Government of Canada to further develop and refine climate change-focused policy, programs, communications, and regulations to meet the specific needs of Canadians.

        2. Total Contract Value

          The total contract value is equal to $179,699.38.

        3. Political Neutrality Statement

      I hereby certify as Senior Officer of Forum Research Inc. that the deliverables fully comply with the Government of Canada political neutrality requirements outlined in the Policy on Communications and Federal Identity and the Directive on the Management of Communications - Appendix C (Appendix C: Mandatory Procedures for Public Opinion Research).

      image

      Signature:

      Dr. Lorne Bozinoff

      Specifically, the deliverables do not include information on electoral voting intentions, political party preferences, standings with the electorate, or ratings of the performance of a political party or its leaders.



      President C CEO Forum Research Inc.

  4. Tracking Survey Wave 3 Methodological Report

    1. Introduction

      Forum Research was commissioned to conduct a survey of Canadians covering topics important to the Privy Council Office and the Government of Canada. The survey topics included Canadians’ evolving beliefs, attitudes, and behaviours relating to climate change and environmental protection. Insights garnered from the quantitative study will enable the Government of Canada to further develop and refine policies, program implementation, and communication strategies.

      The Tracking Survey Wave 3 Methodological Report addresses the methodological details of the study pertaining to the time period between December 4th to December 19th, 2023. This is the final report.

    2. Research Purpose

      The purpose of this study is to provide the Privy Council Office Impact and Innovation Unit (PCO- IIU), Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC), and Natural Resources Canada (NRCan) with high quality data and information on Canadians’ beliefs, attitudes, and behaviours relating to climate change. This includes:

      • support for existing and proposed climate policy and programs;

      • risk perceptions pertaining to climate change and its impacts;

      • acceptance of recommended behaviours to combat climate change;

      • climate change knowledge;

      • barriers/drivers to pro-environmental behaviours; and

      • misperceptions about climate change and its causes.

        Insights generated from this quantitative study will enable the Government of Canada to further develop and refine climate change-focused policies, programs, communications, and regulations to meet the specific needs of Canadians.

    3. Overall Approach

      The Privy Council Office provided specific requirements for conducting the survey in its request for proposals., Forum Research gathered comprehensive information regarding Canadians’ beliefs, attitudes, and behaviours relating to climate change.

      The survey was conducted using the computer-assisted web interview (CAWI, online survey) methodology and was administered in both official languages to the Canadian population.

    4. Ǫuestionnaire Design

      The Privy Council Office provided Forum Research with a draft version of the questionnaire in English and Forum Research translated the questionnaire to French. Forum Research worked with the Privy Council Office project team to review the questionnaire, with specific attention to question wording, ordering, and the overall flow of the survey. The survey was pre-tested before data collection upon request from the Privy Council Office. The pre-tests aimed to achieve 50

      completes, with 25 administered in French and 25 administered in English. The pre-test data was shared with the Privy Council Office. A thorough review of the survey flow, logic, and questionnaire design was conducted by both Forum Research and the Privy Council Office.

    5. Sample Design

      The sample was sourced using an online panel methodology, which includes a combination of partner panels to achieve the required sample size of n=2,000 general population respondents. The sample targets adults living in Canada 18 years of age and older, aiming for appropriate representation of gender, age, and regional split from 2021 Statistics Canada Census. Additionally, this survey wave included an oversample of youth respondents aged 18-24, Indigenous respondents, Black respondents, Southeast Asian respondents, and Latin American respondents.

      Upon completion of fieldwork, Forum Research achieved a total of n=2,750 completed surveys. Of those, n=2,000 surveys were part of the general population from the Sago panel and n=750 were part of the oversample. The oversample of youths was from the Leger Opinion (LEO) panel and the oversample of Indigenous, Black, Southeast Asian, and Latin American respondents were from Logit Group’s panel.

    6. Sample Metrics

      The following tables describe the obtained sample metrics broken out by region, age, and gender for this survey wave.


      REGIONAL BREAKOUT

      Province

      Frequency

      Percent

      Alberta

      334

      12.1%

      British Columbia

      356

      12.9%

      Manitoba

      110

      4.0%

      New Brunswick

      55

      2.0%

      Newfoundland and Labrador

      42

      1.5%

      Northwest Territories

      3

      0.1%

      Nova Scotia

      76

      2.8%

      Nunavut

      4

      0.1%

      Ontario

      1138

      41.4%

      Prince Edward Island

      10

      0.4%

      Ǫuebec

      534

      19.3%

      Saskatchewan

      85

      3.1%

      Yukon

      3

      0.1%

      TOTAL

      2750

      100%


      AGE BREAKOUT

      Age

      Frequency

      Percent

      18-24

      475

      17.3%

      25-34

      393

      14.3%

      35-44

      491

      17.9%

      45-54

      364

      13.2%

      55-64

      477

      17.3%

      65-74

      368

      13.4%

      75+

      182

      6.6%

      TOTAL

      2750

      100%


      GENDER BREAKOUT

      Gender

      Frequency

      Percent

      Man

      1318

      47.9%

      Woman

      1412

      51.3%

      Non-binary person

      13

      0.5%

      Another gender identity

      4

      0.1%

      Prefer not to say

      3

      0.1%

      TOTAL

      2750

      100%


    7. Weighting

      Forum Research, in collaboration with the PCO, applied a weighting strategy (using 2021 Statistics Canada Census data) which is balanced according to:

      • Age

      • Gender

      • Region

      Weighting was conducted at the end of the survey wave with the data collected.

    8. Response Rate

      Response rate is calculated by the number of responses to the survey divided by the total number of invitations sent. The response rate for the general population sample for Tracking Series Wave 3 was 4.1%; the response rate for the youth population oversample was 3.4%; the response rate for the Indigenous and ethnicity populations oversample was 17.8%.

      4.6. Generalization of Data

      The sample for each survey data collection wave have been weighted to ensure it accurately reflects Canadians’ opinions. Because the surveys were conducted using online samples, the sample cannot be assumed to be truly random. Although traditional margin of error cannot be

      calculated for online samples, it is helpful to compare what the margin of error would be for a probability sample of the same size as a reference point. A sample of n=2750 Canadians results in an overall margin of error of ± 1.87%, 19 times out of 20.

      Measures were taken in order to reduce the influence of non-response bias. At the beginning of the survey, respondents were assured that their answers will remain anonymous and confidential.

      Reminder emails were also sent to respondents to ensure that individuals who were interested in participating, but were unavailable, would still be able to do so. Furthermore, to reduce item non- response bias, all questions in the online survey were mandatory, meaning respondents were unable to proceed to the next question without providing an answer to the current question.

      However, many questions included “prefer not to say” as an answer option for those who did not wish to provide an answer.

        1. Research Outcomes

          The findings of the research are expected to be used to inform the Government of Canada about Canadians’ beliefs, attitudes, and behaviours relating to climate change. Insights will enable the Government of Canada to further develop and refine climate change-focused policy, programs, communications, and regulations to meet the specific needs of Canadians.

        2. Total Contract Value

          The total contract value is equal to $179,699.38.

        3. Political Neutrality Statement

      I hereby certify as Senior Officer of Forum Research Inc. that the deliverables fully comply with the Government of Canada political neutrality requirements outlined in the Policy on Communications and Federal Identity and the Directive on the Management of Communications - Appendix C (Appendix C: Mandatory Procedures for Public Opinion Research).

      image

      Signature:

      Dr. Lorne Bozinoff

      Specifically, the deliverables do not include information on electoral voting intentions, political party preferences, standings with the electorate, or ratings of the performance of a political party or its leaders.



      President C CEO Forum Research Inc.

  5. Tracking Survey Wave 4 Methodological Report

    1. Introduction

      Forum Research was commissioned to conduct a survey of Canadians covering topics important to the Privy Council Office and the Government of Canada. The survey topics included Canadians’ evolving beliefs, attitudes, and behaviours relating to climate change and environmental protection. Insights garnered from the quantitative study will enable the Government of Canada to further develop and refine policies, program implementation, and communication strategies.

      The Tracking Survey Wave 4 Methodological Report addresses the methodological details of the study pertaining to the time period between February 20th to March 13th, 2024. This is the final report.

    2. Research Purpose

      The purpose of this study is to provide the Privy Council Office Impact and Innovation Unit (PCO- IIU), Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC), and Natural Resources Canada (NRCan) with high quality data and information on Canadians’ beliefs, attitudes, and behaviours relating to climate change. This includes:

      • support for existing and proposed climate policy and programs;

      • risk perceptions pertaining to climate change and its impacts;

      • acceptance of recommended behaviours to combat climate change;

      • climate change knowledge;

      • barriers/drivers to pro-environmental behaviours; and

      • misperceptions about climate change and its causes.

        Insights generated from this quantitative study will enable the Government of Canada to further develop and refine climate change-focused policies, programs, communications, and regulations to meet the specific needs of Canadians.

    3. Overall Approach

      The Privy Council Office provided specific requirements for conducting the survey in its request for proposals., Forum Research gathered comprehensive information regarding Canadians’ beliefs, attitudes, and behaviours relating to climate change.

      The survey was conducted using the computer-assisted web interview (CAWI, online survey) methodology and was administered in both official languages to the Canadian population.

    4. Ǫuestionnaire Design

      The Privy Council Office provided Forum Research with a draft version of the questionnaire in English and Forum Research translated the questionnaire to French. Forum Research worked with the Privy Council Office project team to review the questionnaire, with specific attention to question wording, ordering, and the overall flow of the survey. The survey was pre-tested before data collection upon request from the Privy Council Office. The pre-tests aimed to achieve 50

      completes, with 25 administered in French and 25 administered in English. The pre-test data was shared with the Privy Council Office. A thorough review of the survey flow, logic, and questionnaire design was conducted by both Forum Research and the Privy Council Office.

    5. Sample Design

      The sample was sourced using an online panel methodology, which includes a combination of partner panels to achieve the required sample size of n=2,000 general population respondents. The sample targets adults living in Canada 18 years of age and older, aiming for appropriate representation of gender, age, and regional split from 2021 Statistics Canada Census. Additionally, this survey wave included an oversample of Northern Canadian respondents.

      Upon completion of fieldwork, Forum Research achieved a total of n=2,252 completed surveys. Of those, n=2,000 surveys were part of the general population using the Sago panel and n=252 were part of the oversample using the Leger Opinion (LEO) panel.

    6. Sample Metrics

      The following tables describe the obtained sample metrics broken out by region, age, and gender for this survey wave.


      REGIONAL BREAKOUT

      Province

      Frequency

      Percent

      Alberta

      315

      14.0%

      British Columbia

      322

      14.3%

      Manitoba

      82

      3.6%

      New Brunswick

      42

      1.9%

      Newfoundland and Labrador

      29

      1.3%

      Northwest Territories

      3

      0.1%

      Nova Scotia

      52

      2.3%

      Nunavut

      3

      0.1%

      Ontario

      838

      37.2%

      Prince Edward Island

      8

      0.4%

      Ǫuebec

      488

      21.7%

      Saskatchewan

      60

      2.7%

      Yukon

      10

      0.4%

      TOTAL

      2252

      100%


      AGE BREAKOUT

      Age

      Frequency

      Percent

      18-24

      227

      10.1%

      25-34

      375

      16.7%

      35-44

      390

      17.3%

      45-54

      335

      14.9%

      55-64

      390

      17.3%

      65-74

      337

      15.0%

      75+

      198

      8.8%

      TOTAL

      2252

      100%


      GENDER BREAKOUT

      Gender

      Frequency

      Percent

      Man

      914

      40.6%

      Woman

      1321

      58.7%

      Non-binary person

      9

      0.4%

      Another gender identity

      2

      0.1%

      Prefer not to say

      6

      0.3%

      TOTAL

      2252

      100%


    7. Weighting

      Forum Research, in collaboration with the PCO, applied a weighting strategy (using 2021 Statistics Canada Census data) which is balanced according to:

      • Age

      • Gender

      • Region

      Weighting was conducted at the end of the survey wave with the data collected.

    8. Response Rate

      Response rate is calculated by the number of responses to the survey divided by the total number of invitations sent. The response rate for the general population sample for Tracking Series Wave 4 was 4.4% and the response rate for the Northern Canadian population oversample was 20.5%.

      5.6. Generalization of Data

      The sample for each survey data collection wave have been weighted to ensure it accurately reflects Canadians’ opinions. Because the surveys were conducted using online samples, the sample cannot be assumed to be truly random. Although traditional margin of error cannot be calculated for online samples, it is helpful to compare what the margin of error would be for a

      probability sample of the same size as a reference point. A sample of n=2252 Canadians results in an overall margin of error of ± 2.07%, 19 times out of 20.

      Measures were taken in order to reduce the influence of non-response bias. At the beginning of the survey, respondents were assured that their answers will remain anonymous and confidential.

      Reminder emails were also sent to respondents to ensure that individuals who were interested in participating, but were unavailable, would still be able to do so. Furthermore, to reduce item non- response bias, all questions in the online survey were mandatory, meaning respondents were unable to proceed to the next question without providing an answer to the current question.

      However, many questions included “prefer not to say” as an answer option for those who did not wish to provide an answer.

        1. Research Outcomes

          The findings of the research are expected to be used to inform the Government of Canada about Canadians’ beliefs, attitudes, and behaviours relating to climate change. Insights will enable the Government of Canada to further develop and refine climate change-focused policy, programs, communications, and regulations to meet the specific needs of Canadians.

        2. Total Contract Value

          The total contract value is equal to $179,699.38.

        3. Political Neutrality Statement

      I hereby certify as Senior Officer of Forum Research Inc. that the deliverables fully comply with the Government of Canada political neutrality requirements outlined in the Policy on Communications and Federal Identity and the Directive on the Management of Communications - Appendix C (Appendix C: Mandatory Procedures for Public Opinion Research).

      image

      Signature:

      Dr. Lorne Bozinoff

      Specifically, the deliverables do not include information on electoral voting intentions, political party preferences, standings with the electorate, or ratings of the performance of a political party or its leaders.



      President C CEO Forum Research Inc.

  6. Emerging Topics Wave 1 Methodological Report

    1. Introduction

      Forum Research was commissioned to conduct a survey of Canadians covering topics important to the Privy Council Office and the Government of Canada. The survey topics included Canadians’ evolving beliefs, attitudes, and behaviours relating to climate change and environmental protection. Insights garnered from the quantitative study will enable the Government of Canada to further develop and refine policies, program implementation, and communication strategies.

      The Emerging Topics Survey Wave 1 Methodological Report addresses the methodological details of the study pertaining to the time period between January 31st to February 15th, 2024. This is the final report.

    2. Research Purpose

      The purpose of this study is to provide the Privy Council Office Impact and Innovation Unit (PCO- IIU), Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC), and Natural Resources Canada (NRCan) with high quality data and information on Canadians’ beliefs, attitudes, and behaviours relating to climate change. This includes:

      • support for existing and proposed climate policy and programs;

      • risk perceptions pertaining to climate change and its impacts;

      • acceptance of recommended behaviours to combat climate change;

      • climate change knowledge;

      • barriers/drivers to pro-environmental behaviours; and

      • misperceptions about climate change and its causes.

        Insights generated from this quantitative study will enable the Government of Canada to further develop and refine climate change-focused policies, programs, communications, and regulations to meet the specific needs of Canadians.

    3. Overall Approach

      The Privy Council Office provided specific requirements for conducting the survey in its request for proposals., Forum Research gathered comprehensive information regarding Canadians’ beliefs, attitudes, and behaviours relating to climate change.

      The survey was conducted using the computer-assisted web interview (CAWI, online survey) methodology and was administered in both official languages to the Canadian population.

    4. Ǫuestionnaire Design

      The Privy Council Office provided Forum Research with a draft version of the questionnaire in English and Forum Research translated the questionnaire to French. Forum Research worked with the Privy Council Office project team to review the questionnaire, with specific attention to question wording, ordering, and the overall flow of the survey. The survey was pre-tested before data collection upon request from the Privy Council Office. The pre-tests aimed to achieve 50

      completes, with 25 administered in French and 25 administered in English. The pre-test data was shared with the Privy Council Office. A thorough review of the survey flow, logic, and questionnaire design was conducted by both Forum Research and the Privy Council Office.

    5. Sample Design

      The sample was sourced using an online panel methodology, which includes a combination of partner panels to achieve the required sample size of n=2,000 general population respondents. The sample targets adults living in Canada 18 years of age and older, aiming for appropriate representation of gender, age, and regional split from 2021 Statistics Canada Census.

      Upon completion of fieldwork, Forum Research achieved a total of n=1,994 completed surveys using the Sago panel.

    6. Sample Metrics

      The following tables describe the obtained sample metrics broken out by region, age, and gender for this survey wave.


      REGIONAL BREAKOUT

      Province

      Frequency

      Percent

      Alberta

      240

      12.0%

      British Columbia

      279

      14.0%

      Manitoba

      83

      4.2%

      New Brunswick

      48

      2.4%

      Newfoundland and Labrador

      40

      2.0%

      Northwest Territories

      0

      0%

      Nova Scotia

      62

      3.1%

      Nunavut

      1

      0.1%

      Ontario

      779

      39.1%

      Prince Edward Island

      7

      0.4%

      Ǫuebec

      392

      19.7%

      Saskatchewan

      61

      3.1%

      Yukon

      2

      0.1%

      TOTAL

      1GG4

      100%


      AGE BREAKOUT

      Age

      Frequency

      Percent

      18-24

      208

      10.4%

      25-34

      379

      19.0%

      35-44

      363

      18.2%

      45-54

      333

      16.7%

      55-64

      380

      19.1%

      65-74

      255

      12.8%

      75+

      76

      3.8%

      TOTAL

      1GG4

      100%


      GENDER BREAKOUT

      Gender

      Frequency

      Percent

      Man

      820

      41.1%

      Woman

      1163

      58.3%

      Non-binary person

      5

      0.3%

      Another gender identity

      2

      0.1%

      Prefer not to say

      4

      0.2%

      TOTAL

      1GG4

      100%


    7. Weighting

      Forum Research, in collaboration with the PCO, applied a weighting strategy (using 2021 Statistics Canada Census data) which is balanced according to:

      • Age

      • Gender

      • Region

      Weighting was conducted at the end of the survey wave with the data collected.

    8. Response Rate

      Response rate is calculated by the number of responses to the survey divided by the total number of invitations sent. The response rate for the general population sample for Emerging Topics Wave 1 was 4.4%.

      6.6. Generalization of Data

      The sample for each survey data collection wave have been weighted to ensure it accurately reflects Canadians’ opinions. Because the surveys were conducted using online samples, the sample cannot be assumed to be truly random. Although traditional margin of error cannot be calculated for online samples, it is helpful to compare what the margin of error would be for a

      probability sample of the same size as a reference point. A sample of n=1994 Canadians results in an overall margin of error of ± 2.19%, 19 times out of 20.

      Measures were taken in order to reduce the influence of non-response bias. At the beginning of the survey, respondents were assured that their answers will remain anonymous and confidential.

      Reminder emails were also sent to respondents to ensure that individuals who were interested in participating, but were unavailable, would still be able to do so. Furthermore, to reduce item non- response bias, all questions in the online survey were mandatory, meaning respondents were unable to proceed to the next question without providing an answer to the current question.

      However, many questions included “prefer not to say” as an answer option for those who did not wish to provide an answer.

        1. Research Outcomes

          The findings of the research are expected to be used to inform the Government of Canada about Canadians’ beliefs, attitudes, and behaviours relating to climate change. Insights will enable the Government of Canada to further develop and refine climate change-focused policy, programs, communications, and regulations to meet the specific needs of Canadians.

        2. Total Contract Value

          The total contract value is equal to $179,699.38.

        3. Political Neutrality Statement

      I hereby certify as Senior Officer of Forum Research Inc. that the deliverables fully comply with the Government of Canada political neutrality requirements outlined in the Policy on Communications and Federal Identity and the Directive on the Management of Communications - Appendix C (Appendix C: Mandatory Procedures for Public Opinion Research).

      image

      Signature:

      Dr. Lorne Bozinoff

      Specifically, the deliverables do not include information on electoral voting intentions, political party preferences, standings with the electorate, or ratings of the performance of a political party or its leaders.



      President C CEO Forum Research Inc.

  7. Emerging Topics Wave 2 Methodological Report

    1. Introduction

      Forum Research was commissioned to conduct a survey of Canadians covering topics important to the Privy Council Office and the Government of Canada. The survey topics included Canadians’ evolving beliefs, attitudes, and behaviours relating to climate change and environmental protection. Insights garnered from the quantitative study will enable the Government of Canada to further develop and refine policies, program implementation, and communication strategies.

      The Emerging Topics Survey Wave 2 Methodological Report addresses the methodological details of the study pertaining to the time period between March 19th to April 1st, 2024. This is the final report.

    2. Research Purpose

      The purpose of this study is to provide the Privy Council Office Impact and Innovation Unit (PCO- IIU), Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC), and Natural Resources Canada (NRCan) with high quality data and information on Canadians’ beliefs, attitudes, and behaviours relating to climate change. This includes:

      • support for existing and proposed climate policy and programs;

      • risk perceptions pertaining to climate change and its impacts;

      • acceptance of recommended behaviours to combat climate change;

      • climate change knowledge;

      • barriers/drivers to pro-environmental behaviours; and

      • misperceptions about climate change and its causes.

        Insights generated from this quantitative study will enable the Government of Canada to further develop and refine climate change-focused policies, programs, communications, and regulations to meet the specific needs of Canadians.

    3. Overall Approach

      The Privy Council Office provided specific requirements for conducting the survey in its request for proposals., Forum Research gathered comprehensive information regarding Canadians’ beliefs, attitudes, and behaviours relating to climate change.

      The survey was conducted using the computer-assisted web interview (CAWI, online survey) methodology and was administered in both official languages to the Canadian population.

    4. Ǫuestionnaire Design

      The Privy Council Office provided Forum Research with a draft version of the questionnaire in English and Forum Research translated the questionnaire to French. Forum Research worked with the Privy Council Office project team to review the questionnaire, with specific attention to question wording, ordering, and the overall flow of the survey. The survey was pre-tested before data collection upon request from the Privy Council Office. The pre-tests aimed to achieve 50 completes, with 25 administered in French and 25 administered in English. The pre-test data was

      shared with the Privy Council Office. A thorough review of the survey flow, logic, and questionnaire design was conducted by both Forum Research and the Privy Council Office.

    5. Sample Design

      The sample was sourced using an online panel methodology, which includes a combination of partner panels to achieve the required sample size of n=2,000 general population respondents. The sample targets adults living in Canada 18 years of age and older, aiming for appropriate representation of gender, age, and regional split from 2021 Statistics Canada Census. Additionally, this survey wave included an oversample of Atlantic Canadians, Canadians residing in Saskatchewan, Canadians with a disability, and low-income Canadians.

      Upon completion of fieldwork, Forum Research achieved a total of n=2,524 completed surveys. Of those, n=2,025 surveys were part of the general population using the Sago panel and n=499 were part of the oversample using the Leger Opinion (LEO) panel.

    6. Sample Metrics

      The following tables describe the obtained sample metrics broken out by region, age, and gender for this survey wave.


      REGIONAL BREAKOUT

      Province

      Frequency

      Percent

      Alberta

      246

      9.7%

      British Columbia

      288

      11.4%

      Manitoba

      85

      3.4%

      New Brunswick

      128

      5.1%

      Newfoundland and Labrador

      119

      4.7%

      Northwest Territories

      2

      0.1%

      Nova Scotia

      177

      7.0%

      Nunavut

      1

      <0.1%

      Ontario

      822

      32.6%

      Prince Edward Island

      25

      1.0%

      Ǫuebec

      471

      18.7%

      Saskatchewan

      157

      6.2%

      Yukon

      3

      0.1%

      TOTAL

      2524

      100%


      AGE BREAKOUT

      Age

      Frequency

      Percent

      18-24

      251

      9.9%

      25-34

      399

      15.8%

      35-44

      583

      23.1%

      45-54

      320

      12.7%

      55-64

      417

      16.5%

      65-74

      391

      15.5%

      75+

      163

      6.5%

      TOTAL

      2524

      100%


      GENDER BREAKOUT

      Gender

      Frequency

      Percent

      Man

      1273

      50.4%

      Woman

      1236

      49.0%

      Non-binary person

      10

      0.4%

      Another gender identity

      1

      <0.1%

      Prefer not to say

      4

      0.2%

      TOTAL

      2524

      100%


    7. Weighting

      Forum Research, in collaboration with the PCO, applied a weighting strategy (using 2021 Statistics Canada Census data) which is balanced according to:

      • Age

      • Gender

      • Region

      Weighting was conducted at the end of the survey wave with the data collected.

    8. Response Rate

Response rate is calculated by the number of responses to the survey divided by the total number of invitations sent. The response rate for the general population sample for Emerging Topics Wave 2 was 4.2% and the response rate for the oversample population was 19.7%.

7.6. Generalization of Data

The sample for each survey data collection wave have been weighted to ensure it accurately reflects Canadians’ opinions. Because the surveys were conducted using online samples, the sample cannot be assumed to be truly random. Although traditional margin of error cannot be calculated for online samples, it is helpful to compare what the margin of error would be for a

probability sample of the same size as a reference point. A sample of n=2524 Canadians results in an overall margin of error of ± 1.95%, 19 times out of 20.

Measures were taken in order to reduce the influence of non-response bias. At the beginning of the survey, respondents were assured that their answers will remain anonymous and confidential.

Reminder emails were also sent to respondents to ensure that individuals who were interested in participating, but were unavailable, would still be able to do so. Furthermore, to reduce item non- response bias, all questions in the online survey were mandatory, meaning respondents were unable to proceed to the next question without providing an answer to the current question.

However, many questions included “prefer not to say” as an answer option for those who did not wish to provide an answer.

    1. Research Outcomes

      The findings of the research are expected to be used to inform the Government of Canada about Canadians’ beliefs, attitudes, and behaviours relating to climate change. Insights will enable the Government of Canada to further develop and refine climate change-focused policy, programs, communications, and regulations to meet the specific needs of Canadians.

    2. Total Contract Value

      The total contract value is equal to $179,699.38.

    3. Political Neutrality Statement

I hereby certify as Senior Officer of Forum Research Inc. that the deliverables fully comply with the Government of Canada political neutrality requirements outlined in the Policy on Communications and Federal Identity and the Directive on the Management of Communications - Appendix C (Appendix C: Mandatory Procedures for Public Opinion Research).

image

Signature:

Dr. Lorne Bozinoff

Specifically, the deliverables do not include information on electoral voting intentions, political party preferences, standings with the electorate, or ratings of the performance of a political party or its leaders.



President C CEO Forum Research Inc.

Appendix: Panel Information

Sago Panel

Sago is the primary partner panel used across all six waves of surveys to reach the general population. Sago is a global panel provider with millions of panelists located across the world. Although Sago is a non-probability-based panel provider, its panels are nationally representative of their respective populations.

Panel Recruitment, Validation, and Maintenance

Sago’s panel consists of approximately 487,000 panelists across Canada. Participants are recruited from a broad range of sources to ensure a diverse composition for consumer, B2B, healthcare, and patient panels, covering nationally representative samples as well as hard-to-reach targets.

Sago uses multiple channels to conduct recruitment, including social media (Facebook, Instagram, YouTube, Reddit), mobile apps, radio, print media, billboards, affiliates, networks, publishers, influencers, and referrals. For all recruitment channels used, Sago employs an “open to all” process to deliver a diverse mix of panelists and one that meets stringent vetting protocols.

Sago allocates budgets across channels to ensure diverse and representative recruitment that varies by geography and meets projected client needs. In all cases, Sago carefully monitors panel conversion, attrition, and demographic makeup to ensure it meets stringent quality specifications.

Sago uses a double opt-in process for every panelist who joins a panel. All potential respondents are required to complete a registration page where they must provide a valid email address, and other key demographics in addition to agreeing to Sago’s Privacy Policy and Terms C Conditions. Upon completion of the initial registration, panelists receive a confirmation email. Only after clicking on the confirmation within the follow-up email is a respondent considered a valid, double- opt-in panelist.

Panelists receive a personalized email invitation that includes general survey details such as a survey reference number, length of the interview, device compatibility, study requirements (e.g., online survey), and incentive. Each invitation is CANSPAM compliant and includes links to the unique survey, Sago’s privacy policy and opt-out information, panelist support contact, and a physical address.

For each survey wave, Sago develops the necessary targets to reach the required sample. Sago creates an appropriate sample frame to fit the required sample specifications (e.g., Canadians, aged 18 or older). Response rates are taken into consideration to achieve optimal distribution across various demographic groups. The specific survey objective drives quota management and random sampling is used to fill each quota. Furthermore, for each new wave of survey, Sago excludes panelists who participated in previous survey waves.

Demographic Composition

A summary of the demographic composition of Sago panelists is outlined below.

Province: