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Budget 2005 - Budget Plan Annex 7
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2003 | 2004 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | |
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(per cent) | |||||
Budget 2004 baseline | -2.5 | 6.8 | 5.8 | 4.9 | 4.2 |
Update | -1.1 | 11.9 | 4.4 | 4.3 | 4.1 |
Difference | 1.4 | 5.1 | -1.4 | -0.6 | -0.1 |
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Source: Transport Canada. |
The updated forecast for air passenger traffic is more robust than that used in Budget 2004. While growth in air passenger traffic was negative in 2003, the decline was less than previously forecast. The final quarter of 2003 saw air passenger traffic begin a recovery that carried strongly through 2004. As a result, growth in 2004 is expected to be almost twice the level that was previously forecast. Projected growth rates for 2005 through 2007 are now modestly lower than forecast last year, reflecting the much stronger than anticipated growth in 2004. The net effect of the revised forecast from Transport Canada is to increase the estimate of the total number of passengers over the period from 2003 to 2007 by more than 4 per cent.
ATSC revenue for 2004–05 through 2006–07 is forecast on the basis of the updated figures for growth in air passenger traffic from Transport Canada. The results are shown in Table A7.2 and are compared to the baseline revenue that was established following the rate reductions announced in Budget 2004.
Table A7.2
Revenue From the ATSC
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2002–03 | 2003–04 | 2004–05 | 2005–06 | 2006–07 | Total | |
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(millions of dollars) | ||||||
Budget 2004 baseline | 430 | 400 | 355 | 375 | 395 | 1,955 |
Update | 445 | 420 | 375 | 400 | 425 | 2,065 |
Difference | +15 | +20 | +20 | +25 | +30 | +110 |
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Note: Amounts rounded to nearest $5 million. |
The forecast for total revenue of $2.065 billion through 2006–07 is $110 million higher than the baseline of $1.955 billion that was established following the rate reductions announced in Budget 2004. The $110-million difference is available to reduce the charge.
Budget 2001 established the estimated cost of the enhanced air travel security system at $2.189 billion through 2006–07. Adjustments undertaken in the previous two reviews, including the impact of lapsed operating funds and an adjustment for accrual accounting, reduced baseline costs to roughly $1.955 billion through 2006–07.
Costs are now being revised to reflect two additional items—the results of the first report from the Auditor General and the financial information from CATSA’s 2004 annual report. First, costs are being adjusted downward by $13 million to reflect lower costs for 2001–02 and 2002–03 at Transport Canada and the RCMP than factored into previous reviews. Secondly, costs are being adjusted downward by $32 million to reflect the lapse of operating funds in 2003–04 as set out in CATSA’s 2004 annual report. In total, baseline costs are being revised downward by $45 million, an amount that is available to reduce the charge.
The Government committed to review the charge over time to ensure that revenue remains in line with costs. Successive budgets have presented updated financial information for the period through 2006–07, as per the framework originally set out in Budget 2001.
Revenue estimates have been updated to reflect ATSC collections and revised Transport Canada forecasts for growth in air passenger traffic. Costs have been revised to reflect actual amounts to date and an adjustment for accrual accounting reflecting the operation of a mature air travel security system. This budget also includes adjustments to revenue and costs, taking into account the results of the first report from the Auditor General.
In Budget 2004, the Government indicated that it would adopt a rolling timeframe for review of the charge, so as to ensure an appropriate planning horizon to maintain revenue in line with costs. Accordingly, this review will take into account revenue and cost estimates for 2007–08. For that fiscal year revenue is forecast at $445 million, while the ongoing annual costs for the mature air travel security system are estimated at $400 million. The $45-million difference is available to reduce the charge.
On the basis of the analysis provided above, the total amount available through 2007–08 to reduce the level of the charge is $200 million, as set out in Table A7.3.
The $200 million available to reduce the level of the charge allows for a reduction in the range of 15 per cent across the three categories of air travel—domestic, transborder and other international.
Table A7.3
Adjustments Through 2007–08
Recovery of Costs for the Enhanced Air Travel Security System
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Amounts | |
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(millions of dollars) | |
Projected revenue to 2006–07 | |
Budget 2004 baseline | 1,955 |
Adjustment to reflect updated revenue information | +110 |
Total projected revenues | 2,065 |
Projected costs to 2006–07 | |
Budget 2004 baseline | 1,955 |
Adjustment to reflect updated cost information | -45 |
Total projected costs | 1,910 |
Revenue less costs to 2006–07 | +155 |
Revenue less costs for 2007–08 | +45 |
Total amount available to reduce the charge | +200 |
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Accordingly, the Government proposes that the level of the charge be reduced as follows: for air travel within Canada, to $10 from $12 for round-trip travel and to $5 from $6 for one-way travel; for transborder air travel, to $8.50 from $10; and for other international air travel, to $17 from $20. The new rates are set out in Table A7.4.
Table A7.4
ATSC Rate Structure
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Current rates | Proposed new rates |
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(dollars) | ||
Domestic (one-way) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
Domestic (round-trip) | 12.00 | 10.00 |
Transborder | 10.00 | 8.50 |
Other international | 20.00 | 17.00 |
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Note: The above amounts include the GST or the federal portion of the HST where applicable. |
The new rates preserve the simplicity of the charge, facilitate compliance and administration, and allow for the reduction to be implemented quickly and with minimal disruption. The Government proposes that the new rates apply to tickets purchased on or after March 1, 2005, as per the attached Notice of Ways and Means Motion.
The Government will continue to review the charge over time to maintain revenue in line with costs for the enhanced air travel security system over a rolling five-year period. The Auditor General will continue to perform annual audits through 2006–07 and the results of these audits will be incorporated in future reviews.
That it is expedient to amend the Air Travellers Security Charge Act to provide among other things:
(1) That if an air transportation service is acquired in Canada, the amount of the Air Travellers Security Charge in respect of the service be reduced to:
(a) $4.67 for each chargeable emplanement included in the service, to a maximum of $9.35, if the service does not include transportation to a destination outside Canada and if tax under subsection 165(1) of the Excise Tax Act is required to be paid in respect of the service;
(b) $5.00 for each chargeable emplanement included in the service, to a maximum of $10.00, if the service does not include transportation to a destination outside Canada and if tax under subsection 165(1) of the Excise Tax Act is not required to be paid in respect of the service;
(c) $7.94 for each chargeable emplanement included in the service, to a maximum of $15.89, if the service includes transportation to a destination outside Canada and does not include transportation to a destination outside the continental zone and if tax under subsection 165(1) of the Excise Tax Act is required to be paid in respect of the service;
(d) $8.50 for each chargeable emplanement included in the service, to a maximum of $17.00, if the service includes transportation to a destination outside Canada and does not include transportation to a destination outside the continental zone and if tax under subsection 165(1) of the Excise Tax Act is not required to be paid in respect of the service;
(e) $17.00, if the service includes transportation to a destination outside the continental zone.
(2) That if an air transportation service is acquired outside Canada, the amount of the Air Travellers Security Charge in respect of the service be reduced to:
(a) $7.94 for each chargeable emplanement by an individual on an aircraft used to transport the individual to a destination outside Canada but within the continental zone, to a maximum of $15.89, if the service does not include transportation to a destination outside the continental zone and if tax under subsection 165(1) of the Excise Tax Act is required to be paid in respect of the service;
(b) $8.50 for each chargeable emplanement by an individual on an aircraft used to transport the individual to a destination outside Canada but within the continental zone, to a maximum of $17.00, if the service does not include transportation to a destination outside the continental zone and if tax under subsection 165(1) of the Excise Tax Act is not required to be paid in respect of the service;
(c) $17.00, if the service includes transportation to a destination outside the continental zone.
(3) That any enactment founded on paragraph (1) or (2) apply to air transportation services that include a chargeable emplanement on or after March 1, 2005 and for which consideration is paid or becomes payable on or after that date.
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Last Updated: 2005-02-23 |