Canada Pension Plan

Public Accounts of Canada 2019 Volume I—Top of the page Navigation

Management's responsibility for financial statements

The consolidated financial statements of the Canada Pension Plan are prepared in accordance with the Canada Pension Plan by the management of Employment and Social Development Canada. Management is responsible for determining that the applicable financial reporting framework is acceptable and is responsible for the integrity and objectivity of the information in the consolidated financial statements, including the amounts which must, of necessity, be based on best estimates and judgment. The significant accounting policies are identified in Note 2 to the consolidated financial statements. The financial information presented throughout the Annual Report is consistent with the consolidated financial statements.

To fulfill its accounting and reporting responsibilities, management has developed and maintains books of account, financial and management controls, information systems and management practices. These systems are designed to provide reasonable assurance that financial information is reliable, that assets are safeguarded and that transactions are properly authorized and recorded in accordance with the Canada Pension Plan, the Canada Pension Plan Investment Board Act and the Financial Administration Act and their accompanying regulations.

The Auditor General of Canada, the external auditor of the Canada Pension Plan, conducts an independent audit of the consolidated financial statements in accordance with Canadian generally accepted auditing standards and provides a report to the Minister of Families, Children and Social Development.

Graham Flack
Deputy Minister
Employment and Social Development Canada

Mark Perlman, CPA, CMA
Chief Financial Officer
Employment and Social Development Canada

Gatineau, Canada
August 27, 2019

Independent Auditor's Report

To the Minister of Families, Children and Social Development

Opinion

We have audited the consolidated financial statements of the Canada Pension Plan, which comprise the consolidated statement of financial position as at 31 March 2019, and the consolidated statement of operations, consolidated statement of changes in financial assets available for benefit payments and consolidated statement of cash flow for the year then ended, and notes to the consolidated financial statements, including a summary of significant accounting policies.

In our opinion, the accompanying consolidated financial statements of the Canada Pension Plan for the year ended 31 March 2019 are prepared, in all material respects, in accordance with the basis of accounting described in Note 2 to the consolidated financial statements.

Basis for Opinion

We conducted our audit in accordance with Canadian generally accepted auditing standards. Our responsibilities under those standards are further described in the Auditor’s Responsibilities for the Audit of the Consolidated Financial Statements section of our report. We are independent of the Canada Pension Plan in accordance with the ethical requirements that are relevant to our audit of the consolidated financial statements in Canada, and we have fulfilled our other ethical responsibilities in accordance with these requirements. We believe that the audit evidence we have obtained is sufficient and appropriate to provide a basis for our opinion.

Emphasis of Matter-Basis of Accounting

We draw attention to Note 2 to the consolidated financial statements, which describes the basis of accounting. The consolidated financial statements are prepared to assist management of the Canada Pension Plan in complying with the financial reporting provisions of the Canada Pension Plan legislation. As a result, the consolidated financial statements may not be suitable for another purpose. Our opinion is not modified in respect of this matter.

Responsibilities of Management and Those Charged with Governance for the Consolidated Financial Statements

Management is responsible for the preparation of the consolidated financial statements in accordance with the basis of accounting described in Note 2 to the consolidated financial statements, and for such internal control as management determines is necessary to enable the preparation of consolidated financial statements that are free from material misstatement, whether due to fraud or error.

In preparing the consolidated financial statements, management is responsible for assessing the Canada Pension Plan’s ability to continue as a going concern, disclosing, as applicable, matters related to going concern and using the going concern basis of accounting unless management either intends to liquidate the Canada Pension Plan or to cease operations, or has no realistic alternative but to do so.

Those charged with governance are responsible for overseeing the Canada Pension Plan’s financial reporting process.

Auditor’s Responsibilities for the Audit of the Consolidated Financial Statements

Our objectives are to obtain reasonable assurance about whether the consolidated financial statements as a whole are free from material misstatement, whether due to fraud or error, and to issue an auditor’s report that includes our opinion. Reasonable assurance is a high level of assurance, but is not a guarantee that an audit conducted in accordance with Canadian generally accepted auditing standards will always detect a material misstatement when it exists. Misstatements can arise from fraud or error and are considered material if, individually or in the aggregate, they could reasonably be expected to influence the economic decisions of users taken on the basis of these consolidated financial statements.

As part of an audit in accordance with Canadian generally accepted auditing standards, we exercise professional judgment and maintain professional skepticism throughout the audit. We also:

We communicate with those charged with governance regarding, among other matters, the planned scope and timing of the audit and significant audit findings, including any significant deficiencies in internal control that we identify during our audit.

Marise Bédard, CPA, CA
Principal
for the Interim Auditor General of Canada

Ottawa, Canada
27 August 2019

Consolidated statement of financial position
as at March 31
(in millions of dollars)

  2019 2018
Financial assets
Cash (Note 4) 251 115
Receivables (Note 5) 5,415 5,377
Investments (Note 7) 494,567 428,827
Pending trades receivable (Note 7) 4,692 2,613
Other 75
Subtotal 505,000 436,932
Liabilities
Payables and accrued liabilities (Note 9) 1,168 1,214
Investment liabilities (Note 7) 102,864 72,641
Pending trades payable (Note 7) 4,401 2,477
Subtotal 108,433 76,332
Financial assets available for benefit payments 396,567 360,600
Non-financial assets
Premises, equipment and others 449 397
Assets available for benefit payments 397,016 360,997

Approved by:

Graham Flack
Deputy Minister
Employment and Social Development Canada

Mark Perlman, CPA, CMA
Chief Financial Officer
Employment and Social Development Canada

Consolidated statement of operations
for the year ended March 31
(in millions of dollars)

  Budget 2019
(Note 10)
Actual 2019 Actual 2018
Revenues
Contributions 49,903 51,184 48,435
Net investment income
Realized gains 33,046 7,301
Unrealized (losses) gains (negative 8,875) 25,036
Interest income 3,261 3,074
Dividend income 6,358 3,391
Other income 1,491 1,132
Investment management fees (negative 1,586) (negative 1,738)
Transaction costs (negative 477) (negative 401)
Subtotal 16,008 33,218 37,795
Total 65,911 84,402 86,230
Expenses
Pensions and benefits
Retirement 37,051 36,286 34,560
Survivor 4,578 4,586 4,493
Disability 4,457 4,263 4,133
Disabled contributor's child 338 320 311
Death 366 377 368
Orphan 223 211 209
Post-retirement 553 440
Net overpayments (Note 5) (negative 54) (negative 54)
Subtotal 47,013 46,542 44,460
Operating expenses (Note 12) 1,769 1,841 1,668
Total 48,782 48,383 46,128
Net increase in assets available for benefit payments 17,129 36,019 40,102
Assets available for benefit payments, beginning of year 360,997 360,997 320,895
Assets available for benefit payments, end of year 378,126 397,016 360,997

Consolidated statement of changes in financial assets available for benefit payments
for the year ended March 31
(in millions of dollars)

  Budget 2019
(Note 10)
Actual 2019 Actual 2018
Net increase in assets available for benefit payments 17,129 36,019 40,102
Changes in non-financial assets (negative 52) (negative 1)
Increase in financial assets available for benefit payments 17,129 35,967 40,101
Financial assets available for benefit payments, beginning of year 360,600 360,600 320,499
Financial assets available for benefit payments, end of year 377,729 396,567 360,600

Consolidated statement of cash flow
for the year ended March 31
(in millions of dollars)

  2019 2018
Operating activities
Cash receipts
Contributions 51,151 47,746
Interest on investments 4,537 3,157
Dividends on investments 4,772 2,981
Other investment income 1,347 1,682
Cash payments
Pensions and benefits (negative 46,549) (negative 44,471)
Operating expenses (negative 1,953) (negative 1,658)
Investment management fees (negative 1,001) (negative 867)
Transaction costs (negative 450) (negative 387)
Payment of interest on debt (negative 452) (negative 240)
Cash flows from operating activities 11,402 7,943
Capital activities
Acquisition of premises and equipment (negative 59) (negative 28)
Cash flows used in capital activities (negative 59) (negative 28)
Financing activities
Issuance of debt 36,784 60,494
Repayment of debt (negative 30,929) (negative 55,539)
Cash flows from financing activities 5,855 4,955
Investing activities
Purchases (negative 3,015,044) (negative 3,681,090)
Disposals 2,997,982 3,668,161
Cash flows used in investing activities (negative 17,062) (negative 12,929)
Net increase (decrease) in cash 136 (negative 59)
Cash, beginning of year 115 174
Cash, end of year 251 115

Notes to consolidated financial statements for the year ended March 31, 2019

1. Authority, objective and responsibilities

(a) Description of the Canada Pension Plan

The Canada Pension Plan (CPP) is a federal/provincial plan established by an Act of Parliament in 1965. The CPP is administered by the Government of Canada (GoC) and the provinces.

The CPP began operations in 1966. It is a compulsory and contributory social insurance program operating in all parts of Canada except Quebec, which operates the Québec Pension Plan (QPP), a comparable program. The CPP's objective is to provide a measure of protection to workers and their families against the loss of earnings due to retirement, disability or death. The CPP is financed by contributions and investment returns. Employers and employees pay contributions equally to the CPP. Self-employed workers pay the full amount.

On December 15, 2016, the Canada Pension Plan, the Canada Pension Plan Investment Board Act (CPPIB Act) and the Income Tax Act (Canada) were amended to reflect the CPP enhancement. The CPP enhancement will be implemented through a phased-in approach over a 7-year period which began on January 1, 2019. It will bring a higher income replacement rate and increase the range of pensionable earnings covered.

The Minister of Families, Children and Social Development is responsible for the administration of the CPP, under the Canada Pension Plan; the Minister of National Revenue is responsible for collecting contributions. The Minister of Finance and his provincial counterparts are responsible for setting CPP contribution rates, pension and benefit levels and funding policy. CPP Investment Board (CPPIB) is responsible for managing the amounts that are being transferred under section 108.1 and 108.3 of the Canada Pension Plan. It acts in the best interests of the beneficiaries and contributors under the Canada Pension Plan.

In accordance with the Canada Pension Plan, the financial activities of the CPP are recorded in the CPP Account and the Additional CPP Account (Note 3). The financial transactions affecting the Accounts are governed by the Canada Pension Plan and its regulations. The CPP transfers to CPPIB amounts that are not immediately needed to pay CPP pensions, benefits and operating expenses, and CPPIB invests these amounts. Pursuant to subsections 112(1) and 112(2) of the Canada Pension Plan, one set of annual financial statements is presented on a consolidated basis to include the accounts of the CPP and CPPIB.

CPPIB was established pursuant to the CPPIB Act. CPPIB is a federal Crown corporation and all of its shares are owned by Her Majesty the Queen in right of Canada. CPPIB's transactions are governed by the CPPIB Act and its accompanying regulations. CPPIB's assets are to be invested with a view to achieving a maximum rate of return without undue risk of loss, with regard to the factors that may affect the funding of the CPP and its ability to meet its financial obligations on any given business day.

CPPIB and its wholly-owned subsidiaries are exempt from Part I income tax under paragraph 149(1)(d) of the Income Tax Act (Canada) on the basis that all of the shares of CPPIB and its subsidiaries are owned by Her Majesty the Queen in right of Canada or by a corporation whose shares are owned by Her Majesty the Queen in right of Canada, respectively.

CPPIB is designed to operate at arm's length from the government. It is required to be accountable to the public, Parliament (through the federal Minister of Finance) and the provinces. It provides regular reports of its activities and the results achieved. The financial statements of CPPIB are audited annually by an external firm and are included in its annual report.

As stated in the Canada Pension Plan, changes to the CPPIB Act and major changes to the Canada Pension Plan require the agreement of at least two-thirds of the provinces, representing at least two-thirds of the population of all the provinces.

(b) Pensions and benefits

Retirement pensions

According to the provisions of the Canada Pension Plan, a retirement pension is payable to CPP contributors who have made at least one valid contribution to the Plan. The monthly pension consists of three components: (i) a base component equal to 25% of the contributor's average monthly pensionable earnings below the annual threshold during the pensionable period; (ii) a first additional component equal to 8.33% of the average of the contributor’s 480 highest monthly pensionable earnings during the pensionable period, which began in January 2019; and (iii) a second additional component equal to 33.33% of the average of the contributor’s 480 highest monthly additional pensionable earnings during the pensionable period, which begins in January 2024.

The normal age to begin collecting the retirement pension is 65, however, contributors can either elect to take an actuarially-reduced pension as early as age 60, or an actuarially-increased pension as late as age 70. The maximum monthly pension payable at age 65 in 2019 is $1,154.58 (2018 – $1,134.17).

Post-retirement benefits

According to the provisions of the Canada Pension Plan, a post-retirement benefit (PRB) is payable to each individual between the ages of 60 and 70 who has continued to work and has made contributions to the Plan while collecting their CPP or QPP retirement pension. Contributions are mandatory for working retirement pension recipients until the age of 65, at which point they may elect to cease contributing. Contributions are no longer allowed after reaching age 70. The PRB becomes payable the year after contributions were made. The maximum monthly PRB at age 65 in 2019 is $28.86 (2018 – $28.35).

Disability pensions

According to the provisions of the Canada Pension Plan, a disability pension is payable to a working-age contributor who meets both the medical and contributory requirements. The amount of the disability pension to be paid includes a flat rate portion and an amount equal to 75% of the earned retirement pension. The disability pension ends automatically at age 65, when recipients are automatically converted to receive the retirement pension. The maximum monthly disability pension in 2019 is $1,362.30 (2018 – $1,335.83).

Post-retirement disability benefits

According to the provisions of the Canada Pension Plan, a post-retirement disability benefit is payable to an individual under the age of 65 in receipt of a retirement pension who meets the same medical and contributory criteria as the disability pension. The post-retirement disability benefit is equal to the flat rate portion of the disability pension and is added to individual’s retirement pension. Like the disability pension, the post-retirement disability benefit ends automatically at age 65, when the recipient becomes eligible for benefits under the Old Age Security program. The maximum monthly post-retirement disability benefit in 2019 is $496.36 (2018 – n/a).

Survivor's pensions

According to the provisions of the Canada Pension Plan, a survivor's pension is payable to the spouse or common-law partner of a deceased contributor who made sufficient contributions to the Plan. The pension amount depends on the age of the survivor and whether the survivor also receives other CPP benefits. Survivors aged 65 or older receive a pension equal to 60% of the deceased contributor's retirement pension. Survivors under the age of 65 receive a pension equal to 37.5% of the deceased contributor's retirement pension, plus a flat rate. The maximum monthly pension payable to a survivor in 2019 is $692.75 (2018 – $680.50).

Disabled contributor's child and orphan benefits

According to the provisions of the Canada Pension Plan, each child of a contributor who is receiving a disability pension or a post-retirement disability benefit or a child of a deceased contributor is entitled to a benefit as long as the child is under the age of 18, or is between the ages of 18 and 25 and attending school full-time. The flat rate monthly benefit in 2019 is $250.27 (2018 – $244.64).

Death benefits

According to the provisions of the Canada Pension Plan, a death benefit is a one-time payment to, or on behalf of, the estate of a contributor who made sufficient contributions to the Plan. The death benefit is a flat-rate payment of  $2,500.00 in 2019 (2018 – an earnings-related benefit equal to six times the amount of monthly retirement pension, up to a maximum of $2,500.00).

Pensions and benefits indexation

As required by the Canada Pension Plan, pensions and benefits are indexed annually to the cost of living, as determined by the Consumer Price Index for Canada. The rate of indexation for 2019 is 2.3% (2018 – 1.5%).

2. Significant accounting policies

(a) Basis of accounting

These financial statements have been prepared in accordance with the significant accounting policies described below in compliance with the Canada Pension Plan. The financial statements are presented on a consolidated basis to include the accounts of the CPP and CPPIB and include a consolidated statement of financial position, a consolidated statement of operations, a consolidated statement of changes in financial assets available for benefit payments and a consolidated statement of cash flow.

The CPP, which is managed by both the GoC and the provinces, is not considered to be part of the reporting entity of the GoC. Accordingly, its financial activities are not consolidated with those of the Government.

(b) International Financial Reporting Standards

CPPIB, which is a significant component of the CPP consolidated financial statements, prepares its financial statements in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS). There is no impact on financial assets available for benefit payments and net increase in assets available for benefit payments as a result of CPPIB preparing its financial statements in accordance with IFRS. Certain incremental financial statement disclosures from CPPIB financial statements related to investments, investment receivables and investment liabilities are included as supplementary information in these consolidated financial statements.

(c) Financial instruments

The CPP, through CPPIB, measures its investments, investment receivables and investment liabilities at fair value.

The investments and investment receivables are measured at fair value on the basis that they are part of a portfolio managed and evaluated on a fair value basis in accordance with investment strategies and risk management of CPPIB.

Investment liabilities are measured at fair value upon meeting the following criteria:

The CPP, through CPPIB, recognizes investments, investment receivables and investment liabilities when, and only when, it becomes a party to the contractual provisions of the instrument. In addition, these are recorded on a trade date basis.

Investments and investment receivables are derecognized when the contractual rights to receive the cash flows expire or where the CPP, through the CPPIB, has transferred the asset and substantially all the risks and rewards of the asset or no longer retains control over the asset. Investment liabilities are derecognized by CPP, through the CPPIB, when the obligation under the liabilities is discharged, cancelled or expires.

Upon initial recognition, investments, investment receivables and investment liabilities are measured at fair value. Subsequent changes in the fair value are recorded as unrealized gains (losses) on investments and included in net investment income (loss), along with the interest and dividend income from such financial instruments.

(d) Valuation of investments, investment receivables and investment liabilities

Investments, investment receivables and investment liabilities are recorded on a trade date basis and are stated at fair value. Fair value is an estimate of the amount of consideration that would be agreed upon in an arm's length transaction between knowledgeable, willing parties who are under no compulsion to act.

In an active market, fair value is best evidenced by an independent quoted market price. In the absence of an active market, fair value is determined by valuation techniques that make maximum use of inputs observed from markets. These valuation techniques include using recent arm's length market transactions, if available, or current fair value of another investment that is substantially the same, discounted cash flow analysis, option pricing models and other accepted industry valuation methods, that may include the use of estimates made by management, appraisers or both where significant judgment is required.

(e) Contributions

Contributions include CPP contributions earned for the year. The Canada Revenue Agency (CRA) collects contributions and measures them using the assessment of tax returns. In determining the amount of contributions earned for the year, the CRA considers cash received and contributions assessed, and makes an estimate for contributions related to tax returns not yet assessed. This estimate is subject to review. Adjustments, if any, are recorded as contributions in the year they are known.

(f) Investment income

Income from investments includes realized and changes in unrealized gains and losses from investments, investment receivables and investment liabilities, dividend income and interest income. Dividend income is recognized on the ex-dividend date, which is when the right to receive the dividend has been established. Interest income is recognized as earned.

(g) Investment management fees

Investment management fees, which include hedge fund performance fees, are paid to investment managers for externally managed investments. Investment management fees are expensed as incurred and included in net investment income (loss).

(h) Transaction costs

Transaction costs are incremental costs that are directly attributable to the acquisition or disposal of an investment. Transaction costs are expensed as incurred and included in net investment income (loss).

(i) Translation of foreign currencies

Transactions, including purchases and sales of investments, income and expenses, are translated at the rate of exchange prevailing on the date of the transaction. Investments and monetary assets and liabilities denominated in foreign currencies are translated into Canadian dollars at exchange rates prevailing on the year-end date. Non-monetary items in a foreign currency are measured at historical cost using the exchange rates at the dates of the initial transactions.

Foreign currency transaction gains and losses on financial instruments are included in net investment income (loss).

(j) Pensions and benefits

Pensions and benefits expenses are recorded when incurred and are net of overpayments established during the year. Accruals are recorded at year-end for pensions and benefits owed to beneficiaries but not paid, based on management's best estimate.

(k) Tax deductions due to the Canada Revenue Agency

Tax deductions due to the CRA consist primarily of voluntary and non-resident taxes withheld from pensions and benefit payments to CPP beneficiaries (refer to Note 9).

(l) Net overpayments

Net overpayments comprise overpayments of pensions and benefits that were established during the year less remissions of debts granted.

(m) Operating expenses

Operating expenses are recorded as incurred.

(n) Other claims and legal actions

The CPP records an allowance for claims and legal proceedings when it is likely that there will be a future payment and a reasonable estimate can be made.

(o) Related party transactions

Inter-entity transactions are transactions between commonly controlled entities. Inter-entity transactions are recorded on a gross basis and are measured at the carrying amount, except for the following:

  1. Inter-entity transactions are measured at the exchange amount when undertaken on similar terms and conditions to those adopted if the entities were dealing at arm's length, or when the costs of goods or services are provided on a recovery basis.

  2. Goods or services received without charge between commonly controlled entities are not recorded.

Related parties include key management personnel having authority and responsibility for planning, directing and controlling the activities of the CPP, including their close family members. Related party transactions, other than inter-entity transactions, are recorded at the exchange amount.

(p) Measurement uncertainty

The preparation of consolidated financial statements in accordance with the Canada Pension Plan requires management to make certain estimates, judgments and assumptions that affect the reported values of assets and liabilities as at the date of the consolidated financial statements and revenues and expenses during the reporting period. Estimates are based on the best information available at the time of preparation of the consolidated financial statements and are reviewed annually to reflect new information as it becomes available. Significant estimates and judgments are required principally in determining the reported estimated contributions, allowance for doubtful accounts, contingent liabilities, actuarial obligation in respect of benefits and valuation of financial instruments which are not actively traded. Measurement uncertainty exists in these consolidated financial statements. Actual results could significantly differ from those estimates.

(q) Adoption of new accounting standards

Although these consolidated financial statements are prepared in compliance with the Canada Pension Plan, the CPP analyzes Canadian Public Sector Accounting Standards as they are the source on which the CPP's accounting policies are based. The CPP has adopted the following sections effective April 1, 2018:

Restructuring transactions

This new standard PS 3430 introduces accounting guidance for both transferors and recipients of assets and/or liabilities regarding restructuring transactions, together with related program or operating responsibilities. There were no impacts on the consolidated financial statements from adopting this section.

3. Canada Pension Plan enhancement

On December 15, 2016, legislation to enact the CPP enhancement received Royal Assent, amending the Canada Pension Plan, the CPPIB Act and the Income Tax Act (Canada). These legislative amendments will increase the amount of CPP contributions and the corresponding pensions and post-retirement benefits that will be paid on CPP contributions made after December 31, 2018. The Canada Pension Plan now defines two separate accounts, the CPP Account (existing CPP), and the Additional CPP Account (enhanced CPP), collectively referred to as the CPP Accounts, where the financial activities of each account are recorded in the Account to which they relate. As a result of the legislated requirement for the incremental full funding of any new or increased benefit (refer to the second paragraph in Note 13), the Additional CPP Account is fully funded, unlike the CPP Account.

The Additional CPP Account contributions began on January 1, 2019. In order to prepare for the Additional CPP Account, costs were incurred by the CPP and CPPIB. As defined in the Canada Pension Plan as well as in the CPPIB Act, initial costs of administration and the related interests incurred in relation to CPP enhancement via the Additional CPP Account were temporarily funded by the CPP Account. In 2019, these initial costs of administration and the related interests incurred totalled $25 million (2018 –$16 million) of which $10 million (2018 –$8 million) was incurred by GoC and $15 million (2018 –$8 million) was incurred by CPPIB. As at March 31, 2019, the Additional CPP Account has fully reimbursed, with interest, the CPP Account.

Given that the Additional CPP Account began to receive contributions on January 1, 2019, the activities to report on are limited. While the notes that follow present the consolidated information of both the CPP Account and the Additional CPP Account, they are mainly applicable to the CPP Account. A breakdown of the activities between the CPP Account and the Additional CPP Account is presented in Note 18.

4. Cash

Cash consists of the total cash held by the CPP Accounts and CPPIB. The CPP Accounts were established in the accounts of Canada by the Canada Pension Plan to record the contributions, interest, pensions, benefits and operating expenses of the CPP. The CPP Accounts also record the amounts transferred to or received from CPPIB. As at March 31, 2019, the deposit with the Receiver General for Canada in the CPP Account is $163 million (2018 – $32 million) and the CPPIB's cash is $88 million (2018 – $83 million) for a total of $251 million (2018 – $115 million).

5. Receivables

Receivables comprise the following:

(in millions of dollars)

  2019 2018
Contributions 5,164 5,131
Québec Pension Plan 130 122
Additional CPP Account 16
Beneficiaries
Balance of pensions and benefits overpayments 154 188
Allowance for doubtful accounts (negative 69) (negative 102)
Others 36 22
Total 5,415 5,377

Contributions receivable represent the estimated amount to be collected by the CRA and transferred to the CPP relating to contributions earned at year end and adjusted for tax returns not yet assessed. The amount includes an estimate that takes into consideration the number of contributors and the average contribution to be received, which is based on the average earning and the CPP contribution rate. On an annual basis, the model used to make the estimate is reviewed. The difference between the estimate and the actual amount has not been significant in the past.

The CPP has procedures to detect overpayments. During the year, overpayments totalling $91 million (2018 – $99 million) were established and debts totalling $37 million (2018 – $45 million) were forgiven as per the remission provisions of the Canada Pension Plan. A further $88 million (2018 – $84 million) was recovered through collection of payments and withholdings from beneficiaries.

6. Investment activities risk management

The CPP, through the investment activities carried out by CPPIB, is exposed to a variety of financial risks. These risks include market risk, credit risk and liquidity risk. CPPIB employs the Risk/Return Accountability Framework, which establishes accountability of the Board of Directors, the various committees and the investment departments to manage investment related risks. CPPIB manages and mitigates financial risks through the Risk Policy approved by the Board of Directors at least once every fiscal year. This policy contains risk limits and risk management provisions that govern investment decisions. It has been designed to achieve the mandate of CPPIB, which is to invest its assets with a view to achieving a maximum rate of return, without undue risk of loss, having regard to the factors that may affect the funding of the CPP and the ability of the CPP to meet its financial obligations on any given business day.

Upper and Lower Absolute Risk Limits and the Absolute Risk Operating Range are included within the Risk Policy, and these govern the amount of total investment risk that CPPIB can take in the CPP Investment Portfolios. CPPIB monitors potential investment losses in CPP Investment Portfolios daily and reports to the Board of Directors on at least a quarterly basis.

  1. Market Risk

    Market risk (including equity risk, currency risk, interest rate risk and other price risk) is the risk that the fair value or future cash flows of an investment, investment receivable or investment liability will fluctuate because of changes in market prices and rates.

    Equity Risk

    Equity risk is the risk that the fair value or future cash flows will fluctuate because of changes in equity prices. It is a significant source of risk of the CPP Investment Portfolios.

    The CPP, through the CPPIB, invests in both publicly traded and private equities. After taking into account derivative positions and with all other variables held constant, a 1% decrease/increase in the S&P 500 Index would result in a loss/profit of $1,021 million (2018 – $1,200 million) on public equity investments. This calculation assumes that equities other than the S&P 500 Index would move in accordance with their historical behaviour conditional on a 1% decrease/increase in the S&P 500 Index.

    Interest rate risk

    Interest rate risk is the risk that the fair value or future cash flows of an investment, investment receivable or investment liability will fluctuate because of changes in market interest rates.

    Credit spread risk

    Credit spread risk is the difference in yield on certain securities compared to a comparable risk-free security (i.e. government issued) with the same maturity date. Credit spread risk is the risk that the fair value of these securities will fluctuate because of changes in credit spread.

    Currency Risk

    The CPP, through CPPIB, is exposed to currency risk through holdings of investments, investment receivables or investment liabilities in various currencies.

    In Canadian dollars, the net currency exposures, after allocating foreign currency derivatives, as at March 31, are as follows:

    (in millions of dollars)

    Currency 2019 2018
    Net exposure % of total Net exposure % of total
    United States dollar 204,605 52 171,898 48
    Euro 33,539 9 36,135 10
    British pound sterling 18,219 5 19,329 5
    Australian dollar 13,587 3 11,889 3
    Chinese renminbi 12,577 3 6,412 2
    Hong Kong dollar 10,376 3 8,086 2
    Japanese yen 8,416 2 15,019 4
    Indian rupee 6,509 2 4,947 1
    Brazilian real 3,620 1 2,422 1
    South Korean won 3,136 1 3,680 1
    Chilean peso 2,722 1 2,695 1
    Swiss franc 2,623 1 4,002 1
    Other 11,873 2 12,694 5
    Total foreign exposure 331,802 85 299,208 84
    Canadian dollar 60,192 15 57,114 16
    Total 391,994 100 356,322 100

    As at March 31, 2019, with all other variables and underlying values held constant, a change in the value of the Canadian dollar against major foreign currencies by 10% would result in an approximate increase (decrease) in the value of investments, investment receivables and investment liabilities as follows:

    (in millions of dollars)

    Currency 2019
    Change in net investments
    2018Link to footnote 1
    Change in net investments
    +10% -10% +10% -10%
    United States dollar (negative 20,461) 20,461 (negative 17,190) 17,190
    Euro (negative 3,354) 3,354 (negative 3,614) 3,614
    British pound sterling (negative 1,822) 1,822 (negative 1,933) 1,933
    Australian dollar (negative 1,359) 1,359 (negative 1,189) 1,189
    Chinese renminbi (negative 1,258) 1,258 (negative 641) 641
    Hong Kong dollar (negative 1,038) 1,038 (negative 809) 809
    Japanese yen (negative 841) 841 (negative 1,502) 1,502
    Indian rupee (negative 651) 651 (negative 495) 495
    Brazilian real (negative 362) 362 (negative 242) 242
    South Korean won (negative 313) 313 (negative 368) 368
    Chilean peso (negative 272) 272 (negative 270) 270
    Swiss franc (negative 262) 262 (negative 400) 400
    Other (negative 1,187) 1,187 (negative 1,269) 1,269
    Total (negative 33,180) 33,180 (negative 29,922) 29,922
  2. Credit Risk

    Credit risk is the risk of financial loss due to a counterparty failing to meet its contractual obligations, or a reduction in the value of the assets due to a decline in the credit quality of the underlying entity. The CPP's, through CPPIB, credit risk exposure arises primarily through its investment in debt securities, over-the-counter derivatives (as discussed in Note 7g) and guarantees. The carrying amounts of the investments are presented in Note 7 and guarantees are presented in Note 16c).

  3. Liquidity Risk

    Liquidity risk is the risk of being unable to generate sufficient cash or its equivalent in a timely and cost-effective manner to meet pensions and benefit payments, investment commitments and investment liabilities as they come due. The CPP manages this risk through cash flow planning for both short-term and long-term requirements. The cash flow is prepared for a two-year period and updated on a weekly basis to inform CPPIB of the funds required by CPP to meet its financial obligations (refer to Note 18). In order to manage associated liquidity risk, certain assets are segregated and managed separately by CPPIB. Liquidity risk is also managed by investing these assets in liquid money market instruments with the primary objective of ensuring that the CPP has the necessary liquidity to meet benefit payment obligations on any business day. Also, the CPP, through the CPPIB, supplements its management of liquidity risk through its ability to raise funds through the issuance of commercial paper and term debt and transacting in securities sold under repurchase agreements (refer to Note 7 and Note 8).

    The CPPIB maintains $6,176 million (2018 – $6,012 million) of unsecured credit facilities to meet potential liquidity requirements. As at March 31, 2019, the total amount drawn on the credit facilities is $nil (2018 – $nil). The ability to readily dispose of certain investments to meet liquidity needs is facilitated by maintaining a liquid portfolio of publicly traded equities, money market securities and marketable bonds.

7. Investments, investment receivables and investment liabilities

As stated in Note 1, the role of the CPPIB is to invest the assets with a view to achieving a maximum rate of return without undue risk of loss, with regard to the factors that may affect the funding of the CPP and the ability of the CPP to meet its financial obligations on any given business day. To achieve its mandate, CPPIB has established investment policies in accordance with its regulations. These set out the manner in which their assets shall be invested and their financial risks managed and mitigated through the Risk/Return Accountability Framework.

The schedule below provides information on CPPIB's investments, investment receivables and investment liabilities:

(in millions of dollars)

  2019 2018Link to footnote 2
Equities
Public equities 141,189 146,221
Private equities 96,659 75,737
Total equities 237,848 221,958
Fixed income
Bonds 85,604 63,851
Other debt 27,325 22,183
Money market securities 9,829 8,213
Total fixed income 122,758 94,247
Absolute return strategies 25,512 21,027
Real assets
Real estate 45,846 44,712
Infrastructure 33,131 27,450
Energy and resources 8,002 5,729
Power and renewables 5,075 2,949
Total real assets 92,054 80,840
Investment receivables
Securities purchased under reverse repurchase agreements and securities borrowed 11,174 6,164
Derivative assets 3,192 1,918
Other 2,029 2,673
Total investment receivables 16,395 10,755
Total investments 494,567 428,827
Investment liabilities
Securities sold under repurchase agreements and securities lent (negative 39,491) (negative 32,504)
Securities sold short (negative 29,027) (negative 13,574)
Debt financing liabilities (negative 30,861) (negative 24,056)
Derivative liabilities (negative 2,330) (negative 1,712)
Other (negative 1,155) (negative 795)
Total investment liabilities (negative 102,864) (negative 72,641)
Pending trades receivable 4,692 2,613
Pending trades payable (negative 4,401) (negative 2,477)
Net investmentsLink to footnote 3 391,994 356,322

(a) Equities

Equities consist of public and private investments.

  1. Public equities are made directly or through funds, including hedge funds. Fair value for publicly traded equities, including equity short positions, is based on quoted market prices. As at March 31, 2019, public equities included fund investments with a fair value of $10,754 million (2018 – $8,331 million). Fair value for fund investments is generally based on the net asset value reported by the external administrators or managers of the funds.
  2. Private equities are generally made directly or through ownership in limited partnership funds. As at March 31, 2019, private equities included direct investments with a fair value of $47,446 million (2018 – $33,648 million). The fair value for investments held directly is primarily determined using accepted industry valuation methods such as earnings multiples of comparable publicly traded companies or discounted cash flows. Recent market transactions, where available, are also used. In the case of investments held through a limited partnership fund, fair value is generally based on relevant information reported by the general partner using similar accepted industry valuation methods.

(b) Fixed income

  1. Bonds include non-marketable and marketable bonds. Fair value for non-marketable Canadian provincial government bonds is calculated using discounted cash flows based on current market yields of instruments with similar characteristics. In the case of marketable bonds, including bond short positions, fair value is based on quoted prices or calculated using discounted cash flows.
  2. Other debt includes investments in direct private debt, asset-backed securities, distressed mortgage funds, private debt funds, hedge funds and investments in royalty-related income streams. Fair value for direct investments in private debt and asset-backed securities is based on quoted market prices or broker quotes or recent market transactions, if available. Where the market price is not available, fair value is calculated using discounted cash flows.
  3. Money market securities consist of cash, term deposits, treasury bills, commercial paper and floating rate notes. Cash equivalents consist of short-term deposits with a maturity of 90 days of less. Fair value is determined using cost, which, together with accrued interest income, approximates fair value due to the short-term or floating rate nature of these securities.

(c) Absolute return strategies

Absolute return strategies include investments in hedge funds whose objective is to generate positive returns regardless of market conditions, that is, returns with a low correlation to broad market indices. The underlying securities of the funds could include, but are not limited to, equities, fixed income securities and derivatives. Fair value for fund investments is generally based on the net asset value as reported by the external administrators or managers of the funds.

(d) Real assets

  1. The CPPIB obtains exposure to real estate through direct investments in privately held real estate and real estate funds.

    Private real estate investments are managed on behalf of the CPPIB by investment managers primarily through co-ownership arrangements. As at March 31, 2019, real estate investments include assets of $45,846 million (2018 – $44,712 million).

  2. Infrastructure, energy and resources, and power and renewables investments are generally made directly, but can also occur through limited partnership funds. As at March 31, 2019, infrastructure, energy and resources, and power and renewables include direct investments with a fair value of $46,157 million (2018 – $36,079 million) and $51 million in fund investments (2018 – $49 million).

Fair value of these investments is primarily determined using discounted cash flows based on significant inputs including project cash flows and discount rates. Fair value for investments held through limited partnership funds are generally based on the net asset value as reported by the external managers of the funds.

(e) Securities purchased under reverse repurchase agreements and sold under repurchase agreements

Securities purchased under reverse repurchase agreements represent the purchase of securities effected with a simultaneous agreement to sell them back at a specified price at a specified future date and are accounted for as an investment receivable. These securities are not recognized as an investment of the CPP, through CPPIB. The fair value of securities to be resold under reverse repurchase agreements is monitored and additional collateral is obtained, when appropriate, to protect against credit exposure. In the event of counterparty default, the CPP, through CPPIB, has the right to liquidate the collateral held.

Securities sold under repurchase agreements are accounted for as collateralized borrowing because they represent the sale of securities with a simultaneous agreement to buy them back at a specified price at a specified future date. The securities sold continue to be recognized as an investment of the CPP, through CPPIB, with any changes in fair value recorded as net gain (loss) on investments and included in net investment income (loss). Interest earned on reverse repurchase agreements and interest incurred on repurchase agreements is included in net investment income (loss).

Reverse repurchase and repurchase agreements are carried at the amounts at which the securities were initially acquired or sold, which, together with accrued interest income or expense, approximates fair value due to the short-term nature of these agreements.

The terms to maturity of the securities purchased under reverse repurchase agreements, as at March 31, 2019, are as follows: within 1 year, $8,205 million (2018 – $6,164 million), and 1 year to over 10 years, $nil (2018 – $nil).

The terms to maturity of the undiscounted value of the securities sold under repurchase agreements, as at March 31, 2019, are as follows: within 1 year, $38,548 million (2018 – $32,559 million), and 1 year to over 10 years, $nil (2018 – $nil).

(f) Securities borrowed and lent

Securities borrowing and lending agreements are transactions in which CPP, through CPPIB, borrows securities from or lends securities to third parties. Borrowed securities are not recognized on the consolidated statement of financial position. The lent securities remain on the consolidated statement of financial position as CPP, through CPPIB, retains substantially all of the risks and rewards of ownership of the transferred securities.

Collateral received or pledged is generally in the form of cash, equities or fixed income securities. Cash collateral received is accounted for as an investment liability while equities and fixed income securities received as collateral are not recognized on the consolidated statement of financial position. Cash collateral pledged is accounted for as an investment receivable, while securities collateral pledged by CPP, through CPPIB, in securities borrowing agreements remain on the consolidated statement of financial position.

The terms to maturity of the undiscounted value of securities borrowed as at March 31, 2019, are as follows: within 1 year, $2,969 million (2018 – $nil), and 1 year to over 10 years, $nil (2018 – $nil).

The terms to maturity of the undiscounted value of securities lent as at March 31, 2019, are as follows: within 1 year, $1,116 million (2018 – $nil), and 1 year to over 10 years, $nil (2018 – $nil).

(g) Derivative assets and liabilities

A derivative is a financial contract, the value of which is derived from the value of underlying assets, indices, interest rates, currency exchange rates or other market-based factors. Derivatives are transacted through regulated exchanges or negotiated in over-the-counter markets. The CPPIB uses different types of derivative instruments, which include futures and forwards, swaps, options and warrants.

Fair value for exchange-traded derivatives, which includes futures, options and warrants, is based on quoted market prices. Fair value for over-the-counter derivatives, which includes forwards, swaps, options and warrants, is determined based on valuation techniques such as option pricing models, discounted cash flows and consensus pricing from independent brokers and/or third-party vendors.

(h) Securities sold short

Securities sold short represent securities that are sold, but not owned, by the CPP, through CPPIB. The CPP, through CPPIB, has an obligation to cover these short positions, which are accounted for as an investment liability based on the fair value of the securities sold. Collateral is pledged to the counterparty, as required (refer to Note 8). Interest and dividends accrued on securities sold short are included in net investment income (loss).

As at March 31, 2019, securities sold short of $29,027 million (2018 – $13,574 million) are considered repayable within one year based on the earliest period in which the counterparty could request payment under certain conditions.

(i) Debt financing liabilities

Debt financing liabilities consist of commercial paper payable and term debt. Commercial paper payable is recorded at the amount originally issued, which, together with accrued interest expense, approximate fair value due to the short-term nature of these liabilities. Fair value for term debt is based on quoted market prices.

The terms to maturity of the undiscounted value of the commercial paper payable as at March 31, 2019, are as follows: within 1 year, $4,378 million (2018 – $6,263 million), and 1 year to over 10 years, $nil (2018 – $nil).

The terms to maturity of the undiscounted value of the term debt as at March 31, 2019, are as follows: within 1 year, $4,590 million (2018 – $1,250 million), 1 year to 5 years, $12,673 million (2018 – $10,614 million), and 6 years to over 10 years, $8,836 million (2018 – $6,046 million).

8. Collateral

Collateral transactions are conducted to support CPPIB's investment activities under the terms and conditions that are common and customary to collateral arrangements. The net fair value of collateral held and pledged as at March 31 was as follows:

(in millions of dollars)

  2019 2018
Third-party assets held as collateral onLink to footnote 4:
Reverse repurchase agreements 8,207 6,187
Over-the-counter derivative transactions 965 692
Securities lentLink to footnote 5 1,627
Other debt 772 760
Own and third-party assets pledged as collateral on:
Repurchase agreements (negative 38,383) (negative 32,621)
Securities sold shortLink to footnote 6 (negative 34,549) (negative 16,610)
Over-the-counter derivative transactions (negative 407) (negative 315)
Private equities (negative 7,849) (negative 5,942)
Other debt (negative 4,562) (negative 4,417)
Total (negative 74,179) (negative 52,266)

9. Payables and accrued liabilities

Payables and accrued liabilities are comprised of the following:

(in millions of dollars)

  2019 2018
Operating expenses 657 702
Pensions and benefits payable 274 298
Tax deductions on benefits due to Canada Revenue Agency 237 214
Total 1,168 1,214

10. Comparison of results against budget

The budget amounts included in the Consolidated Statement of Operations and the Consolidated Statement of Change In Financial Assets available for benefit payments are derived from the amounts that were originally budgeted in the 2018–2019 Employment and Social Development Canada Departmental Plan, tabled in Parliament in April 2018 and amounts forecasted by the Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions.

11. Estimated overpayments and underpayments of benefits

In order to measure the accuracy of CPP benefit payments, the CPP relies on a quality program (the CPP Payment Accuracy Review) which estimates, through statistical extrapolation, the most likely value of incorrect benefit payments.

For benefits paid during the 12 months ended March 31, 2019, undetected overpayments and underpayments are estimated to be $14.5 million and $54.7 million respectively ($3.0 million and $70.4 million in 2018). These estimates are used by the CPP to assess the quality and accuracy of decisions and to continuously improve its systems and practices for processing CPP benefits.

The actual overpayments established during the year, as indicated in Note 5, were recorded as accounts receivable for recovery and are not directly linked to the above noted estimated overpayments and underpayments of benefits for the same period as these are an evaluation of potential overpayments and underpayments based on the extrapolation described above.

12. Operating expenses

CPP's operating expenses are composed of costs incurred by various Goc departments (refer to Note 17) for the administration of the CPP's activities as well as CPPIB's operating expenses.

(in millions of dollars)

  2019 2018
GoC CPPIB Total GoC CPPIB Total
Personnel related costs 300 802 1,102 298 712 1,010
Collection of contributions and investigation services 207 207 190 190
Information technology and data services 118 118 98 98
Program policy and delivery 110 110 104 104
Professional and consulting fees 107 107 71 71
Tax on international operations 35 35 40 40
Premises and equipment 40 40 38 38
Amortization of premises and equipment 20 20 27 27
Support services of the Social Security Tribunal 13 13 14 14
Cheque issue and computer services 5 5 6 6
Others 3 81 84 3 67 70
Total 638 1,203 1,841 615 1,053 1,668

13. Financial sustainability of the Canada Pension Plan

The CPP is financed by contributions and investment returns. Employers and employees pay contributions equally to the CPP, and self-employed workers pay the full amount. At the time of the Plan's inception in 1965, the demographic and economic conditions made pay-as-you-go financing appropriate. The pay-as-you-go financing, along with a small reserve equivalent to about two years' worth of expenditures, meant the pensions and benefits for one generation would be paid largely from the contributions of later generations. However, changing demographics and economic conditions over time led to increasing CPP costs, and by the mid-1990s the fall in the level of assets of the CPP resulted in a portion of the reserve being required to cover expenditures. Therefore, for the CPP benefits to remain unchanged, the contribution rate would have needed to be increased regularly.

As a result, the CPP was amended in 1997 to restore its long-term financial sustainability and to improve fairness across generations by changing its financing approach from a pay-as-you-go basis to a form of partial funding called steady-state funding, along with incremental full funding rules for new or enhanced benefits, and by reducing the growth of benefits over the long term. In addition, a new investment policy was put in place, along with the creation of CPPIB. Moreover, the statutory periodic reviews of the Plan by the federal and provincial governments were increased from once every five years to every three years.

Key among the 1997 changes was the introduction of self-sustaining provisions to safeguard the Plan: in the event that the projected minimum contribution rate is greater than the legislated contribution rate and no recommendations are made by the Finance Ministers to correct the situation, the contribution rate would automatically increase and the indexation of the current benefits would be suspended.

The federal and provincial finance ministers took additional steps in 1999 to strengthen the transparency and accountability of actuarial reporting on the CPP by endorsing regular independent peer reviews of actuarial reports and consultations by the Chief Actuary with experts on the assumptions to be used in the actuarial reports.

The most recent triennial report, the Twenty-seventh Actuarial Report on the Canada Pension Plan as at December 31, 2015, was tabled in Parliament on September 27, 2016. The next triennial actuarial report as at December 31, 2018, is expected to be tabled by December 2019. The most recent actuarial report, the Twenty-ninth Actuarial Report supplementing the Twenty-seventh and Twenty-eighth Actuarial Report on the Canada Pension Plan as at December 31, 2015, was tabled in Parliament on May 1, 2018. It was prepared on the basis of the Twenty-seventh and Twenty-eighth Actuarial Reports to show the effect of the proposed changes to the Canada Pension Plan, as per Division 19 of Part 6 of Bill C-74, the Budget Implementation Act, 2018, No. 1, which came into force on December 15, 2018.

According to the Twenty-seventh Actuarial Report, under the current legislated contribution rate of 9.9%, the Plan's assets are expected to increase significantly, with the asset/expenditure ratio remaining relatively stable at a level of 6.5 over the period 2016 to the early 2030s and then growing to reach 7.4 by 2090 assuming all assumptions are realized.

A number of assumptions were used in the Twenty-seventh Actuarial Report to project the CPP's revenues and expenditures over the long projection period of 75 years, and to determine the minimum contribution rate. The assumptions provided in the table below represent the best estimates according to the Chief Actuary's professional judgment relating to demographic, economic, and other factors; and have been peer reviewed by an independent expert actuary's panel.

  As at December 31, 2015Link to footnote 7 As at December 31, 2012Link to footnote 7
Males Females Males Females
Canadian life expectancy
at birth in 2016 86.7 years 89.7 years 86.3 years 89.3 years
at age 65 in 2016 21.3 years 23.7 years 21.1 years 23.5 years
Retirement rates for cohort at age 60 34% (2016) 38% (2016) 34% (2016) 38% (2016)
CPP disability incidence rates (per 1,000 eligible) 3.10 (2020) 3.65 (2020) 3.32 (2017)Link to footnote 8 3.77 (2017)Link to footnote 8
Total fertility rate 1.65 (2019) 1.65 (2015)
Net migration rate 0.62% of population (2016) 0.60% of population (2017)
Participation rate (age group 15-69) in 2035 (2012 - in 2030) 77.5% 76.8%
Employment rate (age group 15-69) in 2035 (2012 - in 2030) 72.6% 72.1%
Unemployment rate 6.2% (2025) 6.0% (2023)
Rate of increase in prices 2.0% (2017) 2.2% (2021)
Real-wage increase 1.1% (2025) 1.2% (2020)
Real rate of return (75-year average) 3.9% 3.9%

In the Twenty-seventh Actuarial Report, the minimum contribution rate, which is the lowest rate to sustain the CPP, was determined to be 9.79% of contributory earnings for the year 2019 and thereafter (9.84% for the year 2016 and thereafter in the Twenty-sixth Actuarial Report).

The CPP assets available for benefit payments represent the funds accumulated for the payment of pensions, benefits, and operating expenses, i.e. total CPP expenditures. The partial funding nature of the CPP means that contributions as opposed to these assets are the main source for financing CPP expenditures. The Twenty-seventh Actuarial Report confirms that, on the basis of the assumptions selected, the current legislated contribution rate of 9.9% is and will continue to be sufficient to pay for future expenditures over the period 2016 to 2020. Thereafter, a portion of investment income (26% in 2050) will be required to make up the difference between contributions and expenditures. Under the current legislated contribution rate of 9.9% and the average expected nominal return on assets of 5.1% over the period 2016 to 2025, total assets available for benefit payments are expected to grow to $476 billion by the end of 2025.

As at March 31, 2019, the value of CPP assets available for benefit payments is $397.0 billion (2018 – $361.0 billion). This amount represents approximately 7.7 times the 2020 planned expenditures of $51.5 billion (2018 – 7.4 times the 2019 planned expenditures of $48.7 billion).

A variety of tests were performed to measure the sensitivity of the long-term projected financial position of the CPP to future changes in the demographic and economic environments. Key best-estimate demographic and economic assumptions were varied individually to measure the potential impact on the financial status of the CPP.

The low-cost and high-cost alternatives for three important assumptions are shown in the table below. In the case of mortality, the assumptions for the low-cost and high-cost alternatives were developed by considering alternative assumed mortality improvement rates. In the case of real wage increase and real rate of return, these assumptions are defined as the upper and lower boundaries of the 80% confidence intervals.

  Low-cost Best-estimate High-cost
Mortality:
Canadian life expectancy at age 65 in 2050 with future improvements
Males 20.9 Males 23.3 Males 25.8
Females 23.2 Females 25.6 Females 27.9
Real wage increase 1.8% 1.1% 0.4%
Average real rate of return (2016‒2090) 5.6% 3.9% 2.2%

Mortality is a very important demographic assumption as it impacts the length of the benefit payment period. If male and female life expectancies at age 65 were to increase by approximately 2.5 years more than expected by 2050, the minimum contribution rate in 2019 and thereafter would increase to 10.10%, above the current legislated contribution rate of 9.9%. On the other hand, if male and female life expectancies at age 65 were to be about 2.5 years lower than expected, the minimum contribution rate would decrease to 9.46%.

The most sensitive economic assumptions are the real wage increase and the real rate of return on investments. The growth in real wage directly impacts the amount of future CPP contributions. If an ultimate real wage increase of 1.8% is assumed for 2025 and thereafter, the minimum contribution rate would decrease to 9.31%. However, if an ultimate real wage increase of 0.4% is assumed for 2017 and thereafter, the minimum contribution rate would increase to 10.32%.

Real rates of return can fluctuate greatly from year to year and can have a significant impact on the size of assets and on the ratio of assets to the following year expenditures. If an average real rate of return of 5.6% is assumed over the next 75 years (2016 to 2090), the minimum contribution rate will decrease to 8.54%. However, if the average real rate of return is assumed to be 2.2% over the next 75 years, the minimum contribution rate increases to 11.05%.

The table below summarizes the sensitivity results of the minimum contribution rate and the ratio of the assets to the next year expenditures under the current legislated contribution rate of 9.9% to the changes in mortality, real wage increase and real rate of return on investments assumptions:

Assumption Scenario Minimum contribution rate Link to footnote 9
(%)
Ratio of assets to expenditure under 9.9% contribution rate
2025 2050 2090
  Best estimate 9.79 6.49 7.28 7.39
Mortality Low cost 9.46 6.50 7.97 13.12
High cost 10.10 6.47 6.67 3.20
Real wage increases Low cost 9.31 6.54 8.70 12.61
High cost 10.32 6.37 5.50 Link to footnote 10
Real rate of return on investments Low cost 8.54 7.52 14.07 47.47
High cost 11.05 5.58 3.42 Link to footnote 11

14. Actuarial obligation in respect of benefits

The Twenty-seventh Actuarial Report on the Canada Pension Plan measures the actuarial obligation under an open group approach, which is consistent with the partial funding nature of the CPP financing, and provides information under a closed group approach, in a footnote. The open group approach takes into consideration all current and future participants of the CPP, including their future contributions and associated benefits, to determine whether current assets and future contributions will be sufficient to pay for all future expenditures. The closed group approach includes only current participants of the CPP, with no new entrants permitted and no new benefits accrued. The choice of the methodology used to produce a social security system's balance sheet is mainly determined by the system's financing approach.

With the current legislated contribution rate of 9.9%, the table below presents the asset excess (shortfall) and the assets to actuarial obligation ratio under open and closed group approaches at valuation dates of the current and previous actuarial reports:

(in billions of dollars)

  As at December 31, 2015 As at December 31, 2012
Open group Closed group Open group Closed group
Assets available for benefit payments 2,547.4 285.4 2,245.8 175.1
Actuarial obligation 2,546.1 1,171.1 2,254.7 1,004.9
Asset excess (shortfall)Link to footnote 12 1.3 (negative 885.7) (negative 8.9) (negative 829.8)
Assets to actuarial obligation ratio 100.1% 24.4% 99.6% 17.4%

Under the partial funding financing approach of the CPP, in any given year, current contributors allow the use of their contributions to pay current beneficiaries' benefits. This financial arrangement creates claims for current and past contributors to contributions of future contributors. As such, the most appropriate assessment of the financial sustainability of partially funded plans by means of their balance sheets should reflect these claims.

The open group approach does account explicitly for these claims by considering the benefits and contributions of both the current and future plan participants. In comparison, the closed group approach does not reflect these claims, since only current participants are considered. To determine the CPP actuarial obligations under the open group approach, the CPP's revenues and expenditures were projected over the period of 150 years using the assumptions of the Twenty-seventh Actuarial Report shown in Note 13. The projection period longer than 75 years that is used to calculate the minimum contribution rate is necessary to ensure that the future expenditures for cohorts that will enter the labour force during that time are included in the liabilities.

The CPP was never intended to be a fully-funded plan and the financial sustainability of the CPP is not assessed based on its actuarial obligation in respect of benefits. According to the Twenty-seventh Actuarial Report, the CPP is intended to be long-term and enduring in nature, a fact that is reinforced by the federal and provincial governments' joint stewardship through the established strong governance and accountability framework of the CPP. Therefore, if the CPP's financial sustainability is to be measured based on its asset excess or shortfall, it should be done on an open group basis that reflects the partially funded nature of the CPP, that is, its reliance on both future contributions and invested assets as a means of financing its future expenditures. Using the open group approach, the Chief Actuary confirms that the CPP, on the basis of the assumptions selected, will continue to meet its financial obligations and is sustainable in the long term.

15. Contractual obligations and commitments

The nature of CPP's and CPPIB's activities can result in some large multi-year contracts and agreements whereby the CPP and the CPPIB will be obligated to make future payments in order to carry out its activities. Significant contractual obligations and commitments that can be reasonably estimated are summarized as follows:

(in millions of dollars)

  Within one year After one year but not more than five years More than five years Total
Lease and other 42 115 10 167
Operating costs 645 645
Total 687 115 10 812

Operating costs are charged to the CPP in accordance with various memoranda of understanding (MoU) between the CPP and various GoC departments for the administration of the CPP's activities (refer to Note 17). The MoUs require written notification for termination and require one year advanced notification. Therefore, the operating costs disclosed are an estimation of the costs that will be charged to the CPP Accounts in the next fiscal year. Operating costs are expected to continue to be charged to the CPP Accounts in the upcoming fiscal years, but cannot be reasonably estimated at this time.

The CPP, through the CPPIB, has entered into commitments related to the funding of investments. These commitments are generally payable on demand based on the funding needs of the investment subject to the terms and conditions of each agreement. As at March 31, 2019, the unfunded commitments totalled $47,408 million (2018 – $41,767 million).

16. Contingent liabilities

(a) Appeals relating to the payment of pensions and benefits

At March 31, 2019, there were 4,669 appeals (2018 – 4,480) relating to the payment of CPP disability pensions. These contingencies are reasonably estimated, using historical information, at an amount of $31.5 million (2018 – $26.5 million), and have been recorded as an accrued liability in these consolidated financial statements.

(b) Other claims and legal proceedings

In the normal course of operations, the CPP is involved in various claims and legal proceedings. The total amount claimed in these actions and their outcomes are not determinable at this time. The CPP records an allowance for claims and legal proceedings when it is likely that there will be a future payment and a reasonable estimate of the loss can be made. No such allowance was recognized in the consolidated financial statements for the 2019 and 2018 fiscal years for these claims and legal proceedings.

(c) Guarantees

As part of certain investment transactions, the CPP, through the CPPIB, agreed to guarantee, as at March 31, 2019, up to $4,437 million (2018 – $2,842 million) to other counterparties in the event certain investee entities default under the terms of loan and other related agreements.

(d) Indemnifications

The CPP, through the CPPIB, provides indemnifications to its officers, directors, certain others and, in certain circumstances, to various counterparties and other entities. The CPPIB may be required to compensate these indemnified parties for costs incurred as a result of various contingencies such as changes in laws, regulations and litigation claims. The contingent nature of these indemnification agreements prevents the CPPIB from making a reasonable estimate of the maximum potential payments the CPPIB could be required to make. To date, the CPPIB has not received any material claims nor made any material payments pursuant to such indemnifications.

17. Related party transactions

The CPP enters into transactions with the GoC in the normal course of business, which are recorded at the exchange value. The costs are based on estimated allocations of costs and are charged to the CPP in accordance with various memoranda of understanding. Details of these transactions are provided in the GoC operating expenses in Note 12 and contractual obligations in Note 15.

Expenses for the year are comprised of the following:

(in millions of dollars)

  2019 2018
Employment and Social Development Canada
Program policy and delivery 378 369
Canada Revenue Agency
Collection of contributions and investigation services 207 190
Treasury Board Secretariat
Health Insurance Plan 32 33
Administrative Tribunals Support Service Canada
Support services of the Social Security Tribunal 13 14
Public Services and Procurement Canada
Cheque issue and computer services 5 6
Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions and Department of Finance
Actuarial services 3 3
Total 638 615

The CPP receives audit services without charge from the Office of the Auditor General of Canada. The value of these audit services is not material for the purpose of these consolidated financial statements and has not been recorded.

18. Supplementary information

The administration of the CPP is shared between various GoC departments. The GoC transfers to CPPIB amounts that are not immediately needed to pay CPP pensions, benefits and operating expenses, and CPPIB invests those amounts. The GoC, through various federal departments, manages the remainder of the assets, as well as the collection of the CPP contributions and the administration and payments of the CPP benefits. For accountability purposes, the following tables present summary information on the levels of assets and liabilities and sources of income and expenses managed by the GoC and CPPIB broken out by the CPP Account and Additional CPP Account respectively.

(in millions of dollars)

  2019
CPP Account Additional CPP Account
GoC CPPIB Total GoC CPPIB Total
Financial assets
Cash 152 87 239 11 1 12
Receivables 5,289 19 5,308 107 107
Investments 494,091 494,091 476 476
Pending trades receivables 4,689 4,689 3 3
Other 75 75
Non-financial assets 435 435 14 14
Liabilities
Payables and accrued liabilities 518 644 1,162 5 1 6
Investment liabilities 102,803 102,803 61 61
Pending trades payable 4,392 4,392 9 9
Assets available for benefit payments 4,923 391,557 396,480 113 423 536
Revenues
Contributions 50,627 50,627 557 557
Net investment income
Investment income 5 35,265 35,270 11 11
Investment management fees (negative 1,586) (negative 1,586)
Transaction costs (negative 477) (negative 477)
Subtotal 50,632 33,202 83,834 557 11 568
Expenses
Pensions and benefits 46,542 46,542
Operating expenses 615 1,194 1,809 23 9 32
Subtotal 47,157 1,194 48,351 23 9 32
Net increase in assets available for benefit payments 3,475 32,008 35,483 534 2 536

(in millions of dollars)

  2018
CPP Account Additional CPP Account
GoC CPPIB Total GoC CPPIB Total
Financial assets
Cash 32 83 115
Receivables 5,356 21 5,377
Investments 428,827 428,827
Pending trades receivables 2,613 2,613
Other
Non-financial assets 397 397
Liabilities
Payables and accrued liabilities 525 689 1,214
Investment liabilities 72,641 72,641
Pending trades payable 2,477 2,477
Assets available for benefit payments 4,863 356,134 360,997
Revenues
Contributions 48,435 48,435
Net investment income
Investment income 3 39,931 39,934
Investment management fees (negative 1,738) (negative 1,738)
Transaction costs (negative 401) (negative 401)
Subtotal 48,438 37,792 86,230
Expenses
Pensions and benefits 44,460 44,460
Operating expenses 615 1,053 1,668
Subtotal 45,075 1,053 46,128
Net increase in assets available for benefit payments 3,363 36,739 40,102

Pursuant to Section 108.1 and 108.3 of the Canada Pension Plan and the Agreement dated as of April 1, 2004, amounts not required to meet specified obligations of the CPP are transferred weekly to the CPPIB. The funds originate from employer and employee contributions to the CPP and interest income generated from the deposit with the Receiver General.

CPPIB remits cash to the CPP as required, including the periodic return, on at least a monthly basis, of funds required to meet CPP pensions, benefits and operating expenses obligations.

The accumulated transfers to/from CPPIB, since inception, are as follows:

(in millions of dollars)

  2019
CPP Account Additional CPP Account Total
Accumulated transfers to CPPIB, beginning of year 492,033 492,033
Transfers of funds to CPPIB 38,160 421 38,581
Accumulated transfers to CPPIB, end of year 530,193 421 530,614
Accumulated transfers from CPPIB, beginning of year (negative 351,513) (negative 351,513)
Transfers of funds from CPPIB (negative 34,745) (negative 34,745)
Accumulated transfers from CPPIB, end of year (negative 386,258) (negative 386,258)
Net accumulated transfers to CPPIB 143,935 421 144,356

(in millions of dollars)

  2018
CPP Account Additional CPP Account Total
Accumulated transfers to CPPIB, beginning of year 455,608 455,608
Transfers of funds to CPPIB 36,425 36,425
Accumulated transfers to CPPIB, end of year 492,033 492,033
Accumulated transfers from CPPIB, beginning of year (negative 317,806) (negative 317,806)
Transfers of funds from CPPIB (negative 33,707) (negative 33,707)
Accumulated transfers from CPPIB, end of year (negative 351,513) (negative 351,513)
Net accumulated transfers to CPPIB 140,520 140,520

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