Public Opinion Research Study on Electoral Matters - Wave 1

Printable PDF version

Supplier: Léger Marketing Inc.

Contract Number: 05005-200923/001/CY

Contract Value: $105,871.96 (including HST)

Award Date: 2021-02-26

Delivery Date: August 23, 2021

Registration Number: POR 124-20

For more information on this report, please contact Elections Canada at rop-por@elections.ca.

Ce rapport est aussi disponible en français

This public opinion research report presents the results of an online survey conducted by Léger Marketing Inc. on behalf of Elections Canada. The quantitative research study was conducted with 2,582 Canadians who were eligible electors, residing in different regions of Canada, between April 1 and April 11, 2021.

Cette publication est aussi disponible en français sous le titre Étude d'opinion publique sur des questions électorales.

This publication may be reproduced for non-commercial purposes only. Prior written permission must be obtained from Elections Canada. For more information on this report, please contact rop-por@elections.ca.

Elections Canada
30 Victoria Street
Gatineau, Quebec
K1A 0M6

Catalogue Number:
SE3-121/1-2021E-PDF

International Standard Book Number (ISBN):
978-0-660-40445-5

Related publications (registration number: POR 124-20):

• T22-248/2021F-PDF
• 978-0-660-37881-7

© Her Majesty the Queen in Right of Canada, as represented by the Prime Minister of Canada, 2021

Table of Contents

• Executive Summary
  • Background and Objectives
  • Methodulogy
  • Overview of the Findings
  • Notes on the Interpretation of the Research Findings
  • Pulitical Neutrality Statement and Contact Information
• Detailed Survey Results
  • Main Sources of News
  • Interest in Pulitics
  • Confidence in Canadian Institutions
  • Opinions on the Fairness of Running Federal Elections
  • Reasons for Mistrust of Elections Canada
  • Electoral Interference
  • Safety of the Voting System in Canada
  • Safety of Voting by Mail in Canada
  • Types of Voter Fraud
  • Conspiracy Mindset
  • Scenarios of a Pandemic Election: Results from a Conjoint Analysis
• Appendix A: Methodology
  • Quantitative Methodology
  • Sampling Procedure
  • Data Cullection
  • Participation Rate
  • Unweighted and Weighted Samples
• Appendix B: Survey Questionnaire

List of Figures

• Figure 1: Main Source of News
• Figure 2: Interest in Pulitics
• Figure 3: Confidence in Canadian Institutions
• Figure 4: Fairness of Elections Canada
• Figure 5: Reasons to Think That Elections Are Not Conducted Fairly by Elections Canada
• Figure 6: Impact of Different Factors on the Outcome of the Next Federal Election
• Figure 7: Opinion Regarding the Voting System in Canada
• Figure 8: Opinion Regarding Voting by Mail
• Figure 9: Perception of the Frequency of Certain Types of Fraud
• Figure 10: Belief in Conspiracy Theories
• Figure 11: Confidence in Election Results by Scenario Attributes
• Figure 12: Range of Scenarios That Had an Impact on Confidence in Election Results

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