Clinical opinion histograms for transfusion decisions
Online posting: Oct. 16, 1997
Published in print: November 15, 1997 (CMAJ 1997;157:1350)
Transfusion decision-making has become much more complex than it
used to be, and the process is now frequently aided by published
algorithms or consensus statements.1-5 Unfortunately, these
sources do not always provide specific suggestions for specific
clinical situations. We used the Internet to sample the opinions
of a number of practising physicians about the transfusion
trigger they would pick in a set of hypothetical clinical
settings and then constructed a series of histograms of minimum
acceptable hemoglobin concentrations for a variety of clinical
scenarios. For example, for a sample of 26 practising
anesthesiologists asked to provide a perioperative transfusion
trigger for an otherwise healthy anemic 45-year-old woman
undergoing total abdominal hysterectomy for menorrhagia, the mean
transfusion trigger was 76.3 g/dL (standard deviation 7.7).
Opinion data were also obtained for perioperative scenarios
involving patients with coronary artery disease, patients with
prior successful myocardial vascularization, elderly patients and
others.
With this method, clinicians dealing with an actual clinical
situation found to match one of the hypothetical scenarios might
choose a transfusion trigger that is the mean of the opinion
histogram corresponding to that scenario, thus choosing a middle-
of-the-road decision point. Alternatively, physicians with
patients who have specifically requested not to receive
transfusions unless the opinion that the transfusion is needed is
shared by a substantial majority of physicians might pick a
transfusion decision threshold 2 standard deviations below the
mean.
It is our hope that with the continuing development of histogram
data for a large number of representative clinical scenarios this
technique of expressing clinical opinion may become useful in
clinical decision-making.
D. John Doyle, MD, PhD
Kevin Chan, BASc
Department of Anaesthesia
Toronto Hospital and University of Toronto
Toronto, Ont.
djdoyle@inforamp.net
http://doyle.ibme.utoronto.ca
References
- Practice guidelines for blood component therapy: a report by
the American Society of Anesthesiologists Task Force on Blood
Component Therapy. Anesthesiology 1996;84:732-47.
- Spence RK, editor. Consensus conference: blood management.
Surgical practice guidelines. Am J Surg
1995:170(6A[suppl]):1S-73S.
- Van Woerkens ECSM, Trouwborst A, van Lanschot JBB. Profound
hemodilution: What is the critical level of hemodilution at which
oxygen delivery-dependent oxygen consumption starts in an
anesthetized human? Anesth Analg 1992;75:818-21.
- Robertie PG, Gravlee GP. Safe limits of isovolemic
hemodilution and recommendations for erythrocyte transfusion.
Int Anesthesiol Clin 1990;28:197-204.
- Perioperative red blood cell transfusion [consensus
conference]. JAMA 1988;260:2700-3.
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